Evidence map›Paper›PMID 35580976›Full record

Trial reportAnnals of the rheumatic diseases2022

Concordance and discordance in SLE clinical trial outcome measures: analysis of three anifrolumab phase 2/3 trials.

Ian N Bruce, Richard A Furie, Eric F Morand, Susan Manzi, Yoshiya Tanaka, Kenneth C Kalunian, Joan T Merrill, Patricia Puzio, Emmanuelle Maho, Christi Kleoudis and 3 more

2 registry-linked trialsAbstract readClinical Trial, Phase IIClinical Trial, Phase III
In one paragraph

Trial report in Annals of the rheumatic diseases, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. It is linked to 2 registered trials, which are not on this map. Cited by 20 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
20citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

NCT02446899 phase3completednot on this map

A Multicentre, Randomised, Double-blind, Placebo-controlled, Phase 3 Study Evaluating the Efficacy and Safety of Anifrolumab in Adult Subjects With Active Systemic Lupus Erythematosus

TypeinterventionalSponsorAstraZenecaRan2015 to 2018Enrolled373ConditionsActive Systemic Lupus ErythematosusArmsAnifrolumab, Placebo
NCT02446912 phase3completednot on this map

A Multicentre, Randomised, Double-blind, Placebo-controlled, Phase 3 Study Evaluating the Efficacy and Safety of Two Doses of Anifrolumab in Adult Subjects With Active Systemic Lupus Erythematosus

TypeinterventionalSponsorAstraZenecaRan2015 to 2018Enrolled460ConditionsActive Systemic Lupus ErythematosusArmsAnifrolumab, Placebo
3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

20 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Trial
  2. Trial
  3. Trial
  4. Review
  5. Lessons Learnt from the Belimumab Trials in Systemic Lupus Erythematosus.International journal of molecular sciences · 2025
    Review
  6. Review
  7. Review
  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. Review
  11. Article
  12. Review
  13. Article
  14. Identification of novel biomarkers for childhood-onset systemic lupus erythematosus using machine learning algorithms and immune infiltration analysis.Skin research and technology : official journal of International Society for Bioengineering and the Skin (ISBS) [and] International Society for Digital Imaging of Skin (ISDIS) [and] International Society for Skin Imaging (ISSI) · 2024
    Article
  15. Review
  16. Review
  17. Review
  18. Review
  19. The star target in SLE: IL-17.Inflammation research : official journal of the European Histamine Research Society ... [et al.] · 2023
    Review
  20. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

13 authors.

Ian N BruceCentre for Epidemiology Versus Arthritis, Division of Musculoskeletal & Dermatological Sciences, The University of Manchester, Manchester, UK.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-3047-500X
Richard A FurieDivision of Rheumatology, Donald and Barbara Zucker School of Medicine at Hofstra/Northwell, Great Neck, New York, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-6712-1585
Eric F MorandCenter for Inflammatory Disease, Monash University, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-9507-3338
Susan ManziDepartment of Medicine, Lupus Center of Excellence, Autoimmunity Institute, Allegheny Health Network, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, USA.
Yoshiya TanakaFirst Department of Internal Medicine, School of Medicine, University of Occupational and Environmental Health, Kitakyushu, Japan.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-0807-7139
Kenneth C KalunianDivision of Rheumatology, Allergy, and Immunology, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, California, USA.
Joan T MerrillArthritis and Clinical Immunology Research Program, Oklahoma Medical Research Foundation, Oklahoma City, Oklahoma, USA.
Patricia PuzioBioPharmaceuticals R&D, AstraZeneca US, Gaithersburg, Maryland, USA.
Emmanuelle MahoBioPharmaceuticals R&D, AstraZeneca R&D, Cambridge, UK.
Christi KleoudisBioPharmaceuticals R&D, AstraZeneca US, Durham, North Carolina, USA.
Marius AlbulescuBioPharmaceuticals R&D, AstraZeneca R&D, Cambridge, UK.
Micki HultquistBioPharmaceuticals R&D, AstraZeneca US, Gaithersburg, Maryland, USA.
Raj TummalaBioPharmaceuticals R&D, AstraZeneca US, Gaithersburg, Maryland, USA Raj.Tummala@astrazeneca.com.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectivesIn the anifrolumab systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) trial programme, there was one trial (TULIP-1) in which BILAG-based Composite Lupus Assessment (BICLA) responses favoured anifrolumab over placebo, but the SLE Responder Index (SRI(4)) treatment difference was not significant. We investigated the degree of concordance between BICLA and SRI(4) across anifrolumab trials in order to better understand drivers of discrepant SLE trial results.

methodsTULIP-1, TULIP-2 (both phase 3) and MUSE (phase 2b) were randomised, 52-week trials of intravenous anifrolumab (300 mg every 4 weeks, 48 weeks; TULIP-1/TULIP-2: n=180; MUSE: n=99) or placebo (TULIP-1: n=184, TULIP-2: n=182; MUSE: n=102). Week 52 BICLA and SRI(4) outcomes were assessed for each patient.

resultsMost patients (78%-85%) had concordant BICLA and SRI(4) outcomes (Cohen's Kappa 0.6-0.7, nominal p<0.001). Dual BICLA/SRI(4) response rates favoured anifrolumab over placebo in TULIP-1, TULIP-2 and MUSE (all nominal p≤0.004). A discordant TULIP-1 BICLA non-responder/SRI(4) responder subgroup was identified (40/364, 11% of TULIP-1 population), comprising more patients receiving placebo (n=28) than anifrolumab (n=12). In this subgroup, placebo-treated patients had lower baseline disease activity, joint counts and glucocorticoid tapering rates, and more placebo-treated patients had arthritis response than anifrolumab-treated patients.

conclusionsAcross trials, most patients had concordant BICLA/SRI(4) outcomes and dual BICLA/SRI(4) responses favoured anifrolumab. A BICLA non-responder/SRI(4) responder subgroup was identified where imbalances of key factors driving the BICLA/SRI(4) discordance (disease activity, glucocorticoid taper) disproportionately favoured the TULIP-1 placebo group. Careful attention to baseline disease activity and monitoring glucocorticoid taper variation will be essential in future SLE trials. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBERS: NCT02446912 and NCT02446899.

Indexed as

GlucocorticoidsLupus Erythematosus, SystemicAlprostadilAntibodies, Monoclonal, HumanizedHumansSeverity of Illness IndexTreatment OutcomeAlprostadilanifrolumabAntibodies, Monoclonal, HumanizedGlucocorticoidsAutoimmune DiseasesBiological TherapyLupus Erythematosus, Systemic

Identifiers

PMID35580976
PMCPMC9213793

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY-NC
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.