Evidence map›Paper›PMID 35577385›Full record

ArticleAnnals of the rheumatic diseases2022

Rising incidence and prevalence of systemic lupus erythematosus: a population-based study over four decades.

Alí Duarte-García, Mehmet Hocaoglu, Maria Valenzuela-Almada, Shirley-Ann Osei-Onomah, Jesse Y Dabit, Alain Sanchez-Rodriguez, Stephanie Q Duong, Rachel E Giblon, Hannah E Langenfeld, Graciela S Alarcón and 2 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Annals of the rheumatic diseases, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 39 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
39citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

39 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Sex-dependent mechanisms in rheumatic diseases.Nature reviews. Rheumatology · 2026
    Review
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  4. [Nan fang yi ke da xue xue bao = Journal of Southern Medical University · 2026
    Article
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  20. Mapping the spatial and temporal frequency of systemic lupus erythematosus in Brazil.Revista brasileira de epidemiologia = Brazilian journal of epidemiology · 2025
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

12 authors.

Alí Duarte-GarcíaDivision of Rheumatology, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, Minnesota, USA Duarte.Ali@mayo.edu.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-1749-5719
Mehmet HocaogluDivision of Rheumatology, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, Minnesota, USA.
Maria Valenzuela-AlmadaDivision of Rheumatology, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, Minnesota, USA.
Shirley-Ann Osei-OnomahDivision of Rheumatology, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, Minnesota, USA.
Jesse Y DabitDivision of Rheumatology, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, Minnesota, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-3150-9603
Alain Sanchez-RodriguezDivision of Rheumatology, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, Minnesota, USA.
Stephanie Q DuongDepartment of Quantitative Health Sciences, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, New York, USA.
Rachel E GiblonDepartment of Quantitative Health Sciences, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, New York, USA.
Hannah E LangenfeldDepartment of Quantitative Health Sciences, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, New York, USA.
Graciela S AlarcónDivision of Clinical Immunology and Rheumatology, Department of Medicine, University of Alabama at Birmingham, Birmingham, Alabama, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-5190-9175
Charles G HelmickCenters for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, Georgia, USA.
Cynthia S CrowsonDivision of Rheumatology, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, Minnesota, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-5847-7475

Funding

Mayo Clinic Center for Clinical and Translational Science (CCaTS UL1 Supplement - Dr. Timothy Curry)UL1TR002377 · NCATS · MAYO CLINIC ROCHESTER · PI VESNA D GAROVIC · 2017 to 2026
$78.4M
Rochester Epidemiology ProjectR01AG034676 · NIA · MAYO CLINIC ROCHESTER · PI ROCCA, WALTER A, ST SAUVER, JENNIFER LYNN · 2010 to 2019
$9.5M
Interdisciplinary Infrastructure for Aging Research: Rochester Epidemiology ProjectR33AG058738 · NIA · MAYO CLINIC ROCHESTER · PI LEBRASSEUR, NATHAN K, OLSON, JANET E · 2020 to 2022
$2.4M
ACL HHS U01DP006491NCATS NIH HHS UL1 TR002377NCCDPHP CDC HHS U01 DP006491NIA NIH HHS R01 AG034676NIA NIH HHS R33 AG058738
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectivesTo determine the trends in incidence, prevalence and mortality of systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) in a US population over four decades.

methodsWe identified all the patients with SLE in Olmsted County, Minnesota who fulfilled the European Alliance of Associations for Rheumatology (EULAR)/American College of Rheumatology (ACR) criteria for SLE during 1976-2018. Age-specific and sex-specific incidence and prevalence rates were adjusted to the standard 2000 projected US population. The EULAR/ACR score was used as a proxy for disease severity. Standardised mortality ratio (SMR) was estimated.

resultsThere were 188 incident SLE cases in 1976-2018 (mean age 46.3±SD 16.9; 83% women). Overall age-adjusted and sex-adjusted annual SLE incidence per 100 000 population was 4.77 (95% CI 4.09 to 5.46). Incidence was higher in women (7.58) than men (1.89). The incidence rate increased from 3.32 during 1976-1988 to 6.44 during 2009-2018. Incidence rates were higher among the racial and ethnic minority populations than non-Hispanic whites. The EULAR/ACR score did not change significantly over time. Overall prevalence increased from 30.6 in 1985 to 97.4 in 2015. During the study period, there was no improvement in SMR over time (p=0.31).

conclusionsThe incidence and prevalence of SLE are increasing in this US population. The increase in incidence may be at least partially explained by the rising ethnic/racial diversity of the population. There was no evidence that the severity of SLE has changed over time. The survival gap between SLE and the general population remains unchanged. As the US population grows more diverse, we might continue to see an increase in the incidence of SLE.

Indexed as

autoimmune diseasesepidemiologylupus erythematosus, systemic

Identifiers

PMID35577385
PMCPMC10481386

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.