Evidence map›Paper›PMID 35574580›Full record

ArticleDigital health

A chronological and geographical analysis of personal reports of COVID-19 on Twitter from the UK.

Su Golder, Ari Z Klein, Arjun Magge, Karen O'Connor, Haitao Cai, Davy Weissenbacher, Graciela Gonzalez-Hernandez

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Digital health. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 14 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
14citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

14 citing papers in PubMed.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Su GolderDepartment of Health Sciences, University of York, York, UK.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8987-5211
Ari Z KleinDepartment of Biostatistics, Epidemiology, and Informatics, Perelman School of Medicine, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, PA, USA.
Arjun MaggeDepartment of Biostatistics, Epidemiology, and Informatics, Perelman School of Medicine, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, PA, USA.
Karen O'ConnorDepartment of Biostatistics, Epidemiology, and Informatics, Perelman School of Medicine, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, PA, USA.
Haitao CaiDepartment of Biostatistics, Epidemiology, and Informatics, Perelman School of Medicine, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, PA, USA.
Davy WeissenbacherDepartment of Biostatistics, Epidemiology, and Informatics, Perelman School of Medicine, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, PA, USA.
Graciela Gonzalez-HernandezDepartment of Biostatistics, Epidemiology, and Informatics, Perelman School of Medicine, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, PA, USA.

Funding

Social Media Mining for PharmacovigilanceR01LM011176 · NLM · UNIVERSITY OF PENNSYLVANIA · PI GONZALEZ HERNANDEZ, GRACIELA, SHEN, LI · 2012 to 2021
$4.5M
NLM NIH HHS R01 LM011176
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Objective: Given the uncertainty about the trends and extent of the rapidly evolving COVID-19 outbreak, and the lack of extensive testing in the United Kingdom, our understanding of COVID-19 transmission is limited. We proposed to use Twitter to identify personal reports of COVID-19 to assess whether this data can help inform as a source of data to help us understand and model the transmission and trajectory of COVID-19. Methods: We used natural language processing and machine learning framework. We collected tweets (excluding retweets) from the Twitter Streaming API that indicate that the user or a member of the user's household had been exposed to COVID-19. The tweets were required to be geo-tagged or have profile location metadata in the UK. Results: We identified a high level of agreement between personal reports from Twitter and lab-confirmed cases by geographical region in the UK. Temporal analysis indicated that personal reports from Twitter appear up to 2 weeks before UK government lab-confirmed cases are recorded. Conclusions: Analysis of tweets may indicate trends in COVID-19 in the UK and provide signals of geographical locations where resources may need to be targeted or where regional policies may need to be put in place to further limit the spread of COVID-19. It may also help inform policy makers of the restrictions in lockdown that are most effective or ineffective.

Indexed as

COVID-19prediction modelssocial mediaTwitter

Identifiers

PMID35574580
PMCPMC9096830

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.