ArticleJournal of clinical medicine2022
Non-Invasive Tests of Liver Fibrosis Help in Predicting the Development of Hepatocellular Carcinoma among Patients with NAFLD.
Article in Journal of clinical medicine, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 7 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.
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Who cites it
7 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 12 citations in OpenAlex.
- The Association Between Serum Gamma-Glutamyl Transferase and Gastrointestinal Cancer Risk: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis.Cancer medicine · 2025Pooled it
- Non-invasive biomarkers prognostic of decompensation events in NASH cirrhosis: a systematic literature review.Journal of molecular medicine (Berlin, Germany) · 2024Pooled it
- HCC Is the Predominant Liver-Related Event in MASLD: 2-Step Non-Invasive Algorithms to Stratify Risk in Non-Cirrhotic Patients.Journal of hepatocellular carcinoma · 2026Article
- Risk-stratified hepatocellular carcinoma surveillance in non-cirrhotic patients with MASLD.Gastroenterology report · 2025Review
- The Growing Landscape of NAFLD-Associated Hepatocellular Carcinoma and Its Impact in Surveillance.GE Portuguese journal of gastroenterology · 2024Review
- Hepatocellular carcinoma risk prediction and early detection in patients with metabolic dysfunction associated steatotic liver disease.Translational gastroenterology and hepatology · 2024Review
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Authors and funding
11 authors at 2 institutions in 1 country.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
Background: The potential role of non-invasive tests (NITs) for liver fibrosis for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) prediction remains poorly known. Methods: Retrospective analysis of a NAFLD cohort from a single university hospital in Barcelona, Spain. Incidence rates and cumulative incidence for the overall cohort, as well as cirrhotic and non-cirrhotic patients were calculated. Logistic regression analyses were carried out to investigate risk factors of HCC. Results: From the entire cohort of 1040 patients, 996 patients (95.8%) were analyzed, in whom 35 cases of HCC were detected, of which 26 (72.4%) HCC incident cases were newly diagnosed during a median follow-up of 2.5 (1.9−3.6) years. Two-hundred and thirty-one (23.2%) were cirrhotic at baseline. With the exception of 2 (7.7%) cases of HCC, the rest were diagnosed in cirrhotic patients. Overall HCC cumulative incidence was 9.49 (95% CI 6.4−13.9) per 1000 person-years. The incidence rate for cirrhotic patients was 41.2 (95% CI 27.6−61.6) per 1000 person-years and 0.93 (95% CI 0.23−3.7) per 1000 person-years for patients without cirrhosis. Overall mortality was significantly higher amongst patients with HCC (4.4% vs. 30.8%, p < 0.001). In patients with available liver biopsy (n = 249, 25%), advanced fibrosis (F3−F4) was significantly associated with higher HCC incidence, but not steatosis, lobular inflammation, nor ballooning. In the overall cohort, FIB-4 ≥1.3 (HR 8.46, 95% CI 1.06−67.4, p = 0.044) and older age (HR 1.06, 95% CI 1.01−1.11, p = 0.025) were associated with increasing risk of HCC over time, whereas in cirrhotic patients predictors of HCC included decreasing values of albumin (HR 0.34, 95% CI 0.13−0.87, p = 0.024), platelets (HR 0.98, 95% CI 0.98−0.99, p = 0.001), and increasing values of liver stiffness (HR 1.03, 95% CI 1.00−1.06, p = 0.016). Conclusions: In a Spanish cohort of NAFLD patients, HCC was rare in non-cirrhotic patients. NITs might play a relevant role at predicting HCC.
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