ArticleEcology letters2022
Future climate risks from stress, insects and fire across US forests.
Article in Ecology letters, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 27 papers.
What it found
Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.
The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.
Who cites it
27 citing papers in PubMed.
- Divergent Spatial and Temporal Sensitivities of Forest Biomass to Climate Challenge Space-For-Time Assumptions and Models.Ecology letters · 2026Article
- Tree regeneration trends in forests of the northeastern USA and their implications for resilience and restoration.Ecological applications : a publication of the Ecological Society of America · 2026Article
- Climate Change Projected to Increase Rates of Background Tree Mortality Across Eastern North America.Global change biology · 2026Article
- Article
- A Global Comparison of Direct and Legacy Effects of Drought on Ecosystem Productivity.Ecology letters · 2026Article
- Divergent climatic response patterns of radial growth in healthy and declining poplar forests in the Engebei Ecological Demonstration Zone of Ordos, China.Frontiers in plant science · 2026Article
- Climate warming induced pervasive growth decline in Chinese pine populations of the Loess Plateau, China.Frontiers in plant science · 2026Article
- Current Forest Carbon Offset Buffer Pool Contributions Do Not Adequately Insure Against Disturbance-Driven Carbon Losses.Global change biology · 2025Article
- Global risk of wildfire across timber production systems.Nature communications · 2025Article
- Wildland fire smoke adds to disproportionate PMACS ES&T air · 2025Article
- Shifting equilibria in a warming boreal forest.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2025Article
- New York State Climate Impacts Assessment Chapter 02: New York State's Changing Climate.Annals of the New York Academy of Sciences · 2024Article
- New York State Climate Impacts Assessment Chapter 05: Ecosystems.Annals of the New York Academy of Sciences · 2024Article
- Carbon, climate, and natural disturbance: a review of mechanisms, challenges, and tools for understanding forest carbon stability in an uncertain future.Carbon balance and management · 2024Review
- Collaboration can preserve the integrity of gold standard carbon data from forest inventories.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2024Article
- Charting the future of high forest low deforestation jurisdictions.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2024Article
- Geographic variation in projected US forest aboveground carbon responses to climate change and atmospheric deposition.Environmental research letters : ERL [Web site] · 2024Article
- High-resolution Annual Dynamic dataset of Curve Number from 2008 to 2021 over Conterminous United States.Scientific data · 2024Article
- Climate change determines the sign of productivity trends in US forests.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2024Article
- High-ambition climate action in all sectors can achieve a 65% greenhouse gas emissions reduction in the United States by 2035.npj climate action · 2024Article
Corrections and comments
PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.
Authors and funding
9 authors.
Funding
Abstract
Forests are currently a substantial carbon sink globally. Many climate change mitigation strategies leverage forest preservation and expansion, but rely on forests storing carbon for decades to centuries. Yet climate-driven disturbances pose critical risks to the long-term stability of forest carbon. We quantify the climate drivers that influence wildfire and climate stress-driven tree mortality, including a separate insect-driven tree mortality, for the contiguous United States for current (1984-2018) and project these future disturbance risks over the 21st century. We find that current risks are widespread and projected to increase across different emissions scenarios by a factor of >4 for fire and >1.3 for climate-stress mortality. These forest disturbance risks highlight pervasive climate-sensitive disturbance impacts on US forests and raise questions about the risk management approach taken by forest carbon offset policies. Our results provide US-wide risk maps of key climate-sensitive disturbances for improving carbon cycle modeling, conservation and climate policy.
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Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.