Evidence map›Paper›PMID 35544482›Full record

ArticlePloS one2022

Optimizing acute stroke outcome prediction models: Comparison of generalized regression neural networks and logistic regressions.

Sheng Qu, Mingchao Zhou, Shengxiu Jiao, Zeyu Zhang, Kaiwen Xue, Jianjun Long, Fubing Zha, Yuan Chen, Jiehui Li, Qingqing Yang and 1 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in PloS one, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 7 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
7citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

7 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Prediction of recurrence and functional status in young ischemic stroke patients: Comparison of machine learning and traditional statistical methods.Neurological sciences : official journal of the Italian Neurological Society and of the Italian Society of Clinical Neurophysiology · 2026
    Article
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  4. Article
  5. Review
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

11 authors.

Sheng QuDepartment of Rehabilitation, Shenzhen Second People's Hospital, The First Affiliated Hospital of Shenzhen University Health Science Centre, Shenzhen, China.
Mingchao ZhouDepartment of Rehabilitation, Shenzhen Second People's Hospital, The First Affiliated Hospital of Shenzhen University Health Science Centre, Shenzhen, China.
Shengxiu JiaoDepartment of Radiation Oncology, Shandong Cancer Hospital and Institute, Shandong First Medical University and Shandong Academy of Medical Sciences, Shandong, China.
Zeyu ZhangSchool of Rehabilitation Sciences, The Shandong University of Traditional Chinese Medicine, Shandong, China.
Kaiwen XueSchool of Rehabilitation Sciences, The Shandong University of Traditional Chinese Medicine, Shandong, China.
Jianjun LongDepartment of Rehabilitation, Shenzhen Second People's Hospital, The First Affiliated Hospital of Shenzhen University Health Science Centre, Shenzhen, China.
Fubing ZhaDepartment of Rehabilitation, Shenzhen Second People's Hospital, The First Affiliated Hospital of Shenzhen University Health Science Centre, Shenzhen, China.
Yuan ChenDepartment of Rehabilitation, Shenzhen Second People's Hospital, The First Affiliated Hospital of Shenzhen University Health Science Centre, Shenzhen, China.
Jiehui LiSchool of Rehabilitation Sciences, The Shandong University of Traditional Chinese Medicine, Shandong, China.
Qingqing YangSchool of Rehabilitation Sciences, The Shandong University of Traditional Chinese Medicine, Shandong, China.
Yulong WangDepartment of Rehabilitation, Shenzhen Second People's Hospital, The First Affiliated Hospital of Shenzhen University Health Science Centre, Shenzhen, China.ORCID 0000-0002-0947-6967

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundGeneralized regression neural network (GRNN) and logistic regression (LR) are extensively used in the medical field; however, the better model for predicting stroke outcome has not been established. The primary goal of this study was to compare the accuracies of GRNN and LR models to identify the most optimal model for the prediction of acute stroke outcome, as well as explore useful biomarkers for predicting the prognosis of acute stroke patients.

methodIn a single-center study, 216 (80% for the training set and 20% for the test set) acute stroke patients admitted to the Shenzhen Second People's Hospital between December 2019 to June 2021 were retrospectively recruited. The functional outcomes of the patients were measured using Barthel Index (BI) on discharge. A training set was used to optimize the GRNN and LR models. The test set was utilized to validate and compare the performances of GRNN and LR in predicting acute stroke outcome based on the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC), accuracy, sensitivity, and the Kappa value.

resultThe LR analysis showed that age, the National Institute Health Stroke Scale score, BI index, hemoglobin, and albumin were independently associated with stroke outcome. After validating in test set using these variables, we found that the GRNN model showed a better performance based on AUROC (0.931 vs 0.702), sensitivity (0.933 vs 0.700), specificity (0.889 vs 0.722), accuracy (0.896 vs 0.729), and the Kappa value (0.775 vs 0.416) than the LR model.

conclusionOverall, the GRNN model demonstrated superior performance to the LR model in predicting the prognosis of acute stroke patients. In addition to its advantage in not affected by implicit interactions and complex relationship in the data. Thus, we suggested that GRNN could be served as the optimal statistical model for acute stroke outcome prediction. Simultaneously, prospective validation based on more variables of the GRNN model for the prediction is required in future studies.

Indexed as

Neural Networks, ComputerStrokeHumansLogistic ModelsPrognosisRetrospective Studies

Identifiers

PMID35544482
PMCPMC9094516

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.