Evidence map›Paper›PMID 35537550›Full record

ArticleMathematical biosciences2022

Learning transmission dynamics modelling of COVID-19 using comomodels.

Solveig A van der Vegt, Liangti Dai, Ioana Bouros, Hui Jia Farm, Richard Creswell, Oscar Dimdore-Miles, Idil Cazimoglu, Sumali Bajaj, Lyle Hopkins, David Seiferth and 4 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Mathematical biosciences, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 7 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
7citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

7 citing papers in PubMed.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

14 authors.

Solveig A van der VegtDoctoral Training Centre, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK; Wolfson Centre for Mathematical Biology, Mathematical Institute, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK.
Liangti DaiDoctoral Training Centre, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK; MRC WIMM Centre for Computational Biology, MRC Weatherall Institute of Molecular Medicine, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK.
Ioana BourosDoctoral Training Centre, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK; Department of Computer Science, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK.
Hui Jia FarmDepartment of Computer Science, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK.
Richard CreswellDepartment of Computer Science, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK.
Oscar Dimdore-MilesAtmospheric, Oceanic and Planetary Physics Department, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK.
Idil CazimogluDoctoral Training Centre, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK.
Sumali BajajDoctoral Training Centre, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK.
Lyle HopkinsDoctoral Training Centre, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK; Department of Computer Science, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK.
David SeiferthDoctoral Training Centre, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK.
Fergus CooperDoctoral Training Centre, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK; Department of Computer Science, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK.
Chon Lok LeiInstitute of Translational Medicine, Faculty of Health Sciences, University of Macau, Macao Special Administrative Region of China; Department of Biomedical Sciences, Faculty of Health Sciences, University of Macau, Macao Special Administrative Region of China.
David GavaghanDoctoral Training Centre, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK; Department of Computer Science, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK.
Ben LambertDoctoral Training Centre, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK; Department of Mathematics, College of Engineering, Mathematics and Physical Sciences, University of Exeter, Exeter, UK. Electronic address: ben.c.lambert@gmail.com.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The COVID-19 epidemic continues to rage in many parts of the world. In the UK alone, an array of mathematical models have played a prominent role in guiding policymaking. Whilst considerable pedagogical material exists for understanding the basics of transmission dynamics modelling, there is a substantial gap between the relatively simple models used for exposition of the theory and those used in practice to model the transmission dynamics of COVID-19. Understanding these models requires considerable prerequisite knowledge and presents challenges to those new to the field of epidemiological modelling. In this paper, we introduce an open-source R package, comomodels, which can be used to understand the complexities of modelling the transmission dynamics of COVID-19 through a series of differential equation models. Alongside the base package, we describe a host of learning resources, including detailed tutorials and an interactive web-based interface allowing dynamic investigation of the model properties. We then use comomodels to illustrate three key lessons in the transmission of COVID-19 within R Markdown vignettes.

Indexed as

COVID-19EpidemicsHumansLearningModels, TheoreticalCompartmental modelsCOVID-19EpidemiologyInfectious disease modellingPedagogyPopulation dynamics

Identifiers

PMID35537550
PMCPMC9077823

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.