Evidence map›Paper›PMID 35537050›Full record

ArticleProceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America2022

Full adoption of the most effective strategies to mitigate methane emissions by ruminants can help meet the 1.5 °C target by 2030 but not 2050.

Claudia Arndt, Alexander N Hristov, William J Price, Shelby C McClelland, Amalia M Pelaez, Sergio F Cueva, Joonpyo Oh, Jan Dijkstra, André Bannink, Ali R Bayat and 14 more

Open access · greenAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 95 papers, 3 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
95citing papers in PubMed, 3 pooled it
51.9field-weighted citation impact, top 1% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

95 citing papers in PubMed, 3 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 326 citations in OpenAlex.

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35 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

24 authors at 15 institutions in 11 countries.

Claudia ArndtIntegrated Sciences Division, International Livestock Research Institute (ILRI), 00100 Nairobi, Kenya.ORCID 0000-0002-6276-1097
Alexander N HristovDepartment of Animal Science, The Pennsylvania State University, University Park, PA 16802.ORCID 0000-0002-0884-4203
William J PriceCollege of Agricultural and Life Sciences, University of Idaho, Moscow, ID 83844.
Shelby C McClellandDepartment of Soil and Crop Sciences, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO 80523.ORCID 0000-0002-1827-3029
Amalia M PelaezDepartment of Animal Science, The Pennsylvania State University, University Park, PA 16802.ORCID 0000-0002-8274-9968
Sergio F CuevaDepartment of Animal Science, The Pennsylvania State University, University Park, PA 16802.
Joonpyo OhDepartment of Animal Science, The Pennsylvania State University, University Park, PA 16802.ORCID 0000-0002-1906-5520
Jan DijkstraAnimal Sciences Group, Wageningen University and Research, 6708 PB Wageningen, The Netherlands.ORCID 0000-0003-3728-6885
André BanninkAnimal Sciences Group, Wageningen University and Research, 6708 PB Wageningen, The Netherlands.
Ali R BayatNatural Resources Institute Finland, 00790 Helsinki, Finland.ORCID 0000-0002-4894-0662
Les A CromptonSchool of Agriculture, Policy and Development, University of Reading, Reading RG6 6EU, United Kingdom.ORCID 0000-0003-3752-4804
Maguy A EugèneInstitut national de recherche pour l'agriculture, l'alimentation et l'environnement (INRAE), VetAgro Sup, UMR Herbivores, Université Clermont Auvergne, 63122 Saint-Genès-Champanelle, France.ORCID 0000-0002-2111-0597
Dolapo EnahoroIntegrated Sciences Division, International Livestock Research Institute (ILRI), 00100 Nairobi, Kenya.ORCID 0000-0002-4927-5617
Ermias KebreabCollege of Agricultural and Environmental Sciences, University of California, Davis, CA 95616.ORCID 0000-0002-0833-1352
Michael KreuzerDepartment of Environmental Systems Science, ETH Zurich, 8092 Zürich, Switzerland.ORCID 0000-0002-9978-1171
Mark McGeeAnimal & Grassland Research and Innovation Centre (AGRIC), Teagasc, Grange C15 PW93, Ireland.
Cécile MartinInstitut national de recherche pour l'agriculture, l'alimentation et l'environnement (INRAE), VetAgro Sup, UMR Herbivores, Université Clermont Auvergne, 63122 Saint-Genès-Champanelle, France.ORCID 0000-0002-2265-2048
Charles J NewboldScotland's Rural College, Edinburgh EH9 3JG, United Kingdom.
Christopher K ReynoldsSchool of Agriculture, Policy and Development, University of Reading, Reading RG6 6EU, United Kingdom.ORCID 0000-0002-4152-1190
Angela SchwarmDepartment of Animal and Aquacultural Sciences, Norwegian University of Life Sciences, 1432 Aas, Norway.ORCID 0000-0002-5750-2111
Kevin J ShingfieldNatural Resources Institute Finland, 00790 Helsinki, Finland.
Jolien B VenemanDe Heus Animal Nutrition, 6717 VE Ede, The Netherlands.
David R Yáñez-RuizEstación Experimental del Zaidín (EEZ), Consejo Superior de Investigaciones Científicas (CSIC), 18008 Granada, Spain.
Zhongtang YuDepartment of Animal Sciences, The Ohio State University, Columbus, OH 43210.ORCID 0000-0002-6165-8522
Pennsylvania State University · USInternational Water Management Institute · ETNatural Resources Institute Finland · FIUniversité Clermont Auvergne · FRUniversity of Reading · GBWageningen University & Research · NLColorado State University · USConsejo Superior de Investigaciones Científicas · ESETH Zurich · CHIdaho State University · USNorwegian University of Life Sciences · NOScotland's Rural College · GBTeagasc - The Irish Agriculture and Food Development Authority · IEThe Ohio State University · USUniversity of California, Davis · US

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

To meet the 1.5 °C target, methane (CH4) from ruminants must be reduced by 11 to 30% by 2030 and 24 to 47% by 2050 compared to 2010 levels. A meta-analysis identified strategies to decrease product-based (PB; CH4 per unit meat or milk) and absolute (ABS) enteric CH4 emissions while maintaining or increasing animal productivity (AP; weight gain or milk yield). Next, the potential of different adoption rates of one PB or one ABS strategy to contribute to the 1.5 °C target was estimated. The database included findings from 430 peer-reviewed studies, which reported 98 mitigation strategies that can be classified into three categories: animal and feed management, diet formulation, and rumen manipulation. A random-effects meta-analysis weighted by inverse variance was carried out. Three PB strategies—namely, increasing feeding level, decreasing grass maturity, and decreasing dietary forage-to-concentrate ratio—decreased CH4 per unit meat or milk by on average 12% and increased AP by a median of 17%. Five ABS strategies—namely CH4 inhibitors, tanniferous forages, electron sinks, oils and fats, and oilseeds—decreased daily methane by on average 21%. Globally, only 100% adoption of the most effective PB and ABS strategies can meet the 1.5 °C target by 2030 but not 2050, because mitigation effects are offset by projected increases in CH4 due to increasing milk and meat demand. Notably, by 2030 and 2050, low- and middle-income countries may not meet their contribution to the 1.5 °C target for this same reason, whereas high-income countries could meet their contributions due to only a minor projected increase in enteric CH4 emissions.

Indexed as

MethaneRuminantsAfricaAnimalsDeveloping CountriesEuropeGlobal WarmingMethaneentericmeta-analysismethanemitigationruminant

Identifiers

PMID35537050
PMCPMC9171756
OpenAlexW4229449823

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.