ArticleScientific reports2022
Politicizing mask-wearing: predicting the success of behavioral interventions among republicans and democrats in the U.S.
Article in Scientific reports, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 9 papers.
What it found
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The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
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Who cites it
9 citing papers in PubMed.
- Article
- Why partisans feel hated: Distinct static and dynamic relationships with animosity meta-perceptions.PNAS nexus · 2024Article
- Academics are more specific, and practitioners more sensitive, in forecasting interventions to strengthen democratic attitudes.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2024Article
- Drivers of COVID-19 booster uptake among nurses.American journal of infection control · 2023Article
- Article
- The impact of threshold decision mechanisms of collective behavior on disease spread.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2023Article
- Insights into the accuracy of social scientists' forecasts of societal change.Nature human behaviour · 2023Article
- Masks as a moral symbol: Masks reduce wearers' deviant behavior in China during COVID-19.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2022Article
- Persuading republicans and democrats to comply with mask wearing: An intervention tournament.Journal of experimental social psychology · 2022Article
Corrections and comments
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Authors and funding
6 authors.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
Scientists and policymakers seek to choose effective interventions that promote preventative health measures. We evaluated whether academics, behavioral science practitioners, and laypeople (N = 1034) were able to forecast the effectiveness of seven different messages compared to a baseline message for Republicans and Democrats separately. These messages were designed to nudge mask-wearing attitudes, intentions, and behaviors. When examining predictions across political parties, forecasters predicted larger effects than those observed for Democrats compared to Republicans and made more accurate predictions for Republicans compared to Democrats. These results are partly driven by a lack of nudge effects on Democrats, as reported in Gelfand et al. (J Exp Soc Psychol, 2021). Academics and practitioners made more accurate predictions compared to laypeople. Although forecasters' predictions were correlated with the nudge interventions, all groups overestimated the observed results. We discuss potential reasons for why the forecasts did not perform better and how more accurate forecasts of behavioral intervention outcomes could potentially provide insight that can help save resources and increase the efficacy of interventions.
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Registered trials
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