Evidence map›Paper›PMID 35526036›Full record

ReviewOrphanet journal of rare diseases2022

Application of Bayesian methods to accelerate rare disease drug development: scopes and hurdles.

Kelley M Kidwell, Satrajit Roychoudhury, Barbara Wendelberger, John Scott, Tara Moroz, Shaoming Yin, Madhurima Majumder, John Zhong, Raymond A Huml, Veronica Miller

Abstract readReview
In one paragraph

Review in Orphanet journal of rare diseases, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 29 papers, 3 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
29citing papers in PubMed, 3 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

29 citing papers in PubMed, 3 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

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  17. Prasinezumab: A Bayesian Perspective on Its Efficacy.Movement disorders : official journal of the Movement Disorder Society · 2025
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

10 authors.

Kelley M Kidwell *Department of Biostatistics, University of Michigan School of Public Health, Ann Arbor, MI, USA. kidwell@umich.edu.ORCID 0000-0002-1717-4483
Satrajit Roychoudhury *Pfizer Inc., New York, NY, USA.
Barbara WendelbergerBerry Consultants, LLC, Austin, TX, USA.
John ScottFood and Drug Administration, Washington, DC, USA.
Tara MorozPfizer Inc., New York, NY, USA.
Shaoming YinTakeda Pharmaceutical Company Limited, Cambridge, MA, USA.
Madhurima MajumderDaiichi Sankyo Inc., Basking Ridge, NJ, USA.
John ZhongREGENXBIO Inc., Rockville, MD, USA.
Raymond A HumlSyneos Health Clinical Solutions, Morrisville, NC, USA.
Veronica MillerForum for Collaborative Research, University of California School of Public Health, Berkeley, CA, USA.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundDesign and analysis of clinical trials for rare and ultra-rare disease pose unique challenges to the practitioners. Meeting conventional power requirements is infeasible for diseases where sample sizes are inherently very small. Moreover, rare disease populations are generally heterogeneous and widely dispersed, which complicates study enrollment and design. Leveraging all available information in rare and ultra-rare disease trials can improve both drug development and informed decision-making processes. MAIN TEXT: Bayesian statistics provides a formal framework for combining all relevant information at all stages of the clinical trial, including trial design, execution, and analysis. This manuscript provides an overview of different Bayesian methods applicable to clinical trials in rare disease. We present real or hypothetical case studies that address the key needs of rare disease drug development highlighting several specific Bayesian examples of clinical trials. Advantages and hurdles of these approaches are discussed in detail. In addition, we emphasize the practical and regulatory aspects in the context of real-life applications.

conclusionThe use of innovative trial designs such as master protocols and complex adaptive designs in conjunction with a Bayesian approach may help to reduce sample size, select the correct treatment and population, and accurately and reliably assess the treatment effect in the rare disease setting.

Indexed as

Rare DiseasesResearch DesignBayes TheoremDrug DevelopmentHumansSample SizeAdaptiveClinical trialExternal controlMeta-analytic predictive approachPlatformPrior distributionSmall sampleSMART

Identifiers

PMID35526036
PMCPMC9077995

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.