Evidence map›Paper›PMID 35525416›Full record

SynthesisInternational journal of surgery (London, England)2022

Mortality factors in pancreatic surgery: A systematic review. How important is the hospital volume?

Richard Hunger, Barbara Seliger, Shuji Ogino, Rene Mantke

Abstract readSystematic Review
In one paragraph

Synthesis in International journal of surgery (London, England), 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 6 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
6citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

6 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Pooled it
  3. Assessing the interplay of operative volume at the hospital and surgeon level for pancreatic cancer.HPB : the official journal of the International Hepato Pancreato Biliary Association · 2026
    Article
  4. Article
  5. Not Only Caseload but Also Patient Selection Is Predictive of Mortality After Pancreatic Resection.Annals of surgery open : perspectives of surgical history, education, and clinical approaches · 2025
    Article
  6. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

Richard HungerFaculty of Medicine, University Hospital Brandenburg, Brandenburg Medical School Theodor Fontane, Brandenburg, Germany.
Barbara SeligerMartin Luther University Halle-Wittenberg, Institute of Medical Immunology, Halle, Germany; Fraunhofer Institute for Cell Therapy and Immunology, Leipzig, Germany.
Shuji OginoDepartment of Epidemiology, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Harvard University, Boston, MA, USA; Program in MPE Molecular Pathological Epidemiology, Department of Pathology, Brigham and Women's Hospital, and Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA, USA; Broad Institute of MIT and Harvard, Cambridge, MA, USA.
Rene MantkeFaculty of Medicine, University Hospital Brandenburg, Brandenburg Medical School Theodor Fontane, Brandenburg, Germany; Faculty of Health Sciences, Brandenburg Medical School Theodor Fontane, Brandenburg, Germany. Electronic address: mantke.mhb@klinikum-brandenburg.de.

Funding

Accelerating Transdisciplinary Epidemiology of Colorectal CancerR35CA197735 · NCI · DANA-FARBER CANCER INST · PI OGINO, SHUJI · 2015 to 2021
$6.0M
NCI NIH HHS R35 CA197735
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundHow the extent of confounding adjustment impact (hospital) volume-outcome relationships in published studies on pancreatic cancer surgery is unknown.

methodsA systematic literature search was conducted for studies that investigated the relationship between volume and outcome using a risk adjustment procedure by querying the following databases: PubMed, Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials, Livivo, Medline and the International Clinical Trials Registry Platform (last query: 2020/09/16). Importance of risk-adjusting covariates were assessed by effect size (odds ratio, OR) and statistical significance. The impact of covariate adjustment on hospital (or surgeon) volume effects was analyzed by regression and meta-regression models.

resultsWe identified 87 studies (75 based on administrative data) with nearly 1 million patients undergoing pancreatic surgery that included in total 71 covariates for risk adjustment. Of these, 33 (47%) had statistically significant effects on short-term mortality and 23 (32%) did not, while for 15 (21%) factors neither effect size nor statistical significance were reported. The most important covariates for short term mortality were patient-specific factors. Concerning the covariates, single comorbidities (OR: 4.6, 95% CI: 3.3 to 6.3) had the strongest impact on mortality followed by hospital volume (OR: 2.9, 95% CI: 2.5 to 3.3) and the procedure (OR: 2.2, 95% CI: 1.9 to 2.5). Among the single comorbidities, coagulopathy (OR: 4.5, 95% CI: 2.8 to 7.2) and dementia (OR: 4.2, 95% CI: 2.2 to 8.0) had the strongest influence on mortality. The regression analysis showed a significant decrease hospital volume effect with an increasing number of covariates considered (OR: 0.06, 95% CI: 0.10 to -0.03, P < 0.001), while such a relationship was not observed for surgeon volume (P = 0.35).

conclusionsThis analysis demonstrated a significant inverse relationship between the extent of risk adjustment and the volume effect, suggesting the presence of unmeasured confounding and overestimation of volume effects. However, the conclusions are limited in that only the number of included covariates was considered, but not the effect size of the non-included covariates.

Indexed as

Digestive System Surgical ProceduresPancreatic NeoplasmsSurgeonsHospital MortalityHospitalsHumansOdds RatioAdministrative dataIn-hospital mortalityPancreatic surgeryVolume-outcome relationship

Identifiers

PMID35525416
PMCPMC9239346

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.