Evidence map›Paper›PMID 35524790›Full record

ArticleInternational journal of colorectal disease2022

Nomogram predicting the cancer-specific survival of early-onset colorectal cancer patients with synchronous liver metastasis: a population-based study.

Xueliang Ding, Xiaodong Yang, Dafu Wu, Yaguang Huang, Yanwen Dai, Jiajing Li, Weilong Chang, Mozhen Chi, Shaobo Tian

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In one paragraph

Article in International journal of colorectal disease, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 12 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
12citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

12 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
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  5. Early Onset Colorectal Cancer: Molecular Underpinnings Accelerating Occurrence.Cellular and molecular gastroenterology and hepatology · 2025
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors.

Xueliang Ding *Department of Clinical Laboratory, Affiliated Renhe Hospital of China Three Gorges University, Yichang, 443001, China.
Xiaodong Yang *Department of Clinical Laboratory, Affiliated Renhe Hospital of China Three Gorges University, Yichang, 443001, China.
Dafu WuDepartment of Clinical Laboratory, Affiliated Renhe Hospital of China Three Gorges University, Yichang, 443001, China.
Yaguang HuangDepartment of Clinical Laboratory, Affiliated Renhe Hospital of China Three Gorges University, Yichang, 443001, China.
Yanwen DaiDepartment of Clinical Laboratory, Affiliated Renhe Hospital of China Three Gorges University, Yichang, 443001, China.
Jiajing LiDepartment of Pathology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Zhengzhou University, Zhengzhou, 450052, China.
Weilong ChangDepartment of Gastrointestinal Surgery, The First Affiliated Hospital of Zhengzhou University, Zhengzhou, 450052, China. changwl365@foxmail.com.
Mozhen ChiDepartment of Scientific Research, Affiliated Renhe Hospital of China Three Gorges University, Yichang, 443001, China. cmzchina@163.com.
Shaobo TianDepartment of Gastrointestinal Surgery, Union Hospital, Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan, 430022, China. tianshaobogut@163.com.

Funding

Natural Science Foundation Program of China Programs 81900533Natural Science Foundation Program of China Programs 82103457
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

purposeThis research aimed to explore prognostic factors for early-onset colorectal cancer (EO-CRC) patients with liver metastasis (LM) and develop nomogram for predicting cancer-specific survival (CSS) probability quantitatively.

methodsOur study included 4368 EO-CRC patients with LM registered in the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database between 2010 and 2017. Potential prognostic factors for EO-CRC patients with LM were identified by multivariable Cox regression analysis. Prognostic nomogram was subsequently constructed based on these prognostic factors. The discriminative ability, calibration, and clinical usefulness of the nomogram were assessed by the area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves (AUC), calibration curves, and decision curve analysis (DCA).

resultsIn the training cohort, marital status, primary tumor location, histopathological grade, T stage, number of metastatic organs, carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA), perineural invasion (PI), surgery of primary site, chemotherapy, radiation therapy, and metastatic lymph nodes ratio (LNR) were prognostic factors for cancer-specific mortality of EO-CRC patients with LM. The 1-, 2-, and 3-year AUC values of the prognostic nomogram were 0.777, 0.781, and 0.788, respectively. Calibration curves indicated acceptable agreement between nomogram-predicted survival and actual observed survival at 1, 2, and 3 years. DCA curves exhibited good positive net benefits in the prognostic model in most threshold probabilities at different time points. All of these results were reproducible in the validation cohort.

conclusionsThis study identified prognostic factors for EO-CRC patients with LM and developed a prognostic nomogram with good performance and clinical usability, which may help clinicians make better treatment decisions.

Indexed as

Colorectal NeoplasmsLiver NeoplasmsHumansNomogramsPrognosisSEER ProgramEarly-onset colorectal cancerLiver metastasisNomogramPrognostic factorSEER

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.