ArticleScience advances2022
Global decline in ocean memory over the 21st century.
Article in Science advances, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 9 papers.
What it found
Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.
The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.
Who cites it
9 citing papers in PubMed.
- Trans-basin linkages prolong Northwestern Pacific marine heatwaves through a circumglobal wave pattern.Science advances · 2026Article
- Stronger ENSO-induced global SST variability in a warming climate.Nature communications · 2026Article
- Extreme compound events in the equatorial and South Atlantic.Nature communications · 2025Article
- Human-induced intensified seasonal cycle of sea surface temperature.Nature communications · 2024Article
- Persistent urban heat.Science advances · 2024Article
- Uncertainties in critical slowing down indicators of observation-based fingerprints of the Atlantic Overturning Circulation.Nature communications · 2023Article
- Ocean fronts as decadal thermostats modulating continental warming hiatus.Nature communications · 2023Article
- Climate-driven changes in the predictability of seasonal precipitation.Nature communications · 2023Article
- Combined influence of soil moisture and atmospheric humidity on land surface temperature under different climatic background.iScience · 2023Article
Corrections and comments
PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.
Authors and funding
10 authors.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
Ocean memory, the persistence of ocean conditions, is a major source of predictability in the climate system beyond weather time scales. We show that ocean memory, as measured by the year-to-year persistence of sea surface temperature anomalies, is projected to steadily decline in the coming decades over much of the globe. This global decline in ocean memory is predominantly driven by shoaling of the upper-ocean mixed layer depth in response to global surface warming, while thermodynamic and dynamic feedbacks can contribute substantially regionally. As the mixed layer depth shoals, stochastic forcing becomes more effective in driving sea surface temperature anomalies, increasing high-frequency noise at the expense of persistent signals. Reduced ocean memory results in shorter lead times of skillful persistence-based predictions of sea surface thermal conditions, which may present previously unknown challenges for predicting climate extremes and managing marine biological resources under climate change.
Identifiers
What OpenQuestion holds
Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.