Evidence map›Paper›PMID 35513376›Full record

ArticleNature communications2022

Estimating global economic well-being with unlit settlements.

Ian McCallum, Christopher Conrad Maximillian Kyba, Juan Carlos Laso Bayas, Elena Moltchanova, Matt Cooper, Jesus Crespo Cuaresma, Shonali Pachauri, Linda See, Olga Danylo, Inian Moorthy and 5 more

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Nature communications, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 12 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
12citing papers in PubMed
6.2field-weighted citation impact, top 3% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

12 citing papers in PubMed, 62 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Detecting gaps between urban expansion and lighting infrastructure growth using daytime and nighttime satellite imagery.International journal of applied earth observation and geoinformation : ITC journal · 2026
    Article
  4. Article
  5. Energy-poverty-inequality SDGs: A large-scale household analysis and forecasting in China.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2025
    Article
  6. Article
  7. Spatial spillovers of violent conflict amplify the impacts of climate variability on malaria risk in sub-Saharan Africa.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2024
    Article
  8. How poverty is measured impacts who gets classified as impoverished.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2024
    Article
  9. Article
  10. Article
  11. Article
  12. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

15 authors at 7 institutions in 4 countries.

Ian McCallumInternational Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, Schlossplatz 1, A-2361, Laxenburg, Austria. mccallum@iiasa.ac.at.ORCID 0000-0002-5812-9988
Christopher Conrad Maximillian KybaGFZ German Research Centre for Geosciences, Telegrafenberg, 14473, Potsdam, Germany.ORCID 0000-0001-7014-1843
Juan Carlos Laso BayasInternational Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, Schlossplatz 1, A-2361, Laxenburg, Austria.ORCID 0000-0003-2844-3842
Elena MoltchanovaSchool of Mathematics & Statistics, University of Canterbury, Private Bag 4800, 8041, Christchurch, New Zealand.ORCID 0000-0002-5788-4658
Matt CooperT.H. Chan School of Public Health, Harvard University, 677 Huntington Ave, 02115, Boston, MA, USA.
Jesus Crespo CuaresmaInternational Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, Schlossplatz 1, A-2361, Laxenburg, Austria.
Shonali PachauriInternational Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, Schlossplatz 1, A-2361, Laxenburg, Austria.ORCID 0000-0001-8138-3178
Linda SeeInternational Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, Schlossplatz 1, A-2361, Laxenburg, Austria.ORCID 0000-0002-2665-7065
Olga DanyloInternational Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, Schlossplatz 1, A-2361, Laxenburg, Austria.ORCID 0000-0003-1721-6740
Inian MoorthyInternational Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, Schlossplatz 1, A-2361, Laxenburg, Austria.
Myroslava LesivInternational Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, Schlossplatz 1, A-2361, Laxenburg, Austria.ORCID 0000-0001-9846-3342
Kimberly BaughCooperative Institute for Research in the Environmental Sciences, University of Colorado, 216 UCB, 80309, Boulder, CO, USA.
Christopher D ElvidgeEarth Observation Group, Payne Institute for Public Policy, Colorado School of Mines, 1500 Illinois St., 80401, Golden, CO, USA.ORCID 0000-0003-0584-1098
Martin HoferInternational Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, Schlossplatz 1, A-2361, Laxenburg, Austria.
Steffen FritzInternational Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, Schlossplatz 1, A-2361, Laxenburg, Austria.ORCID 0000-0003-0420-8549
International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis · ATColorado School of Mines · USCooperative Institute for Research in Environmental Sciences · USGFZ Helmholtz Centre for Geosciences · DEHarvard University · USUniversity of Canterbury · NZVienna University of Economics and Business · AT

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

It is well established that nighttime radiance, measured from satellites, correlates with economic prosperity across the globe. In developing countries, areas with low levels of detected radiance generally indicate limited development - with unlit areas typically being disregarded. Here we combine satellite nighttime lights and the world settlement footprint for the year 2015 to show that 19% of the total settlement footprint of the planet had no detectable artificial radiance associated with it. The majority of unlit settlement footprints are found in Africa (39%), rising to 65% if we consider only rural settlement areas, along with numerous countries in the Middle East and Asia. Significant areas of unlit settlements are also located in some developed countries. For 49 countries spread across Africa, Asia and the Americas we are able to predict and map the wealth class obtained from ~2,400,000 geo-located households based upon the percent of unlit settlements, with an overall accuracy of 87%.

Indexed as

AgricultureFamily CharacteristicsAfricaAmericasMiddle EastPopulation Dynamics

Identifiers

PMID35513376
PMCPMC9072384
OpenAlexW4229050624

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.