Evidence map›Paper›PMID 35513235›Full record

SynthesisClinical gastroenterology and hepatology : the official clinical practice journal of the American Gastroenterological Association2023

Mortality Outcomes by Fibrosis Stage in Nonalcoholic Fatty Liver Disease: A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis.

Cheng Han Ng, Wen Hui Lim, Grace En Hui Lim, Darren Jun Hao Tan, Nicholas Syn, Mark D Muthiah, Daniel Q Huang, Rohit Loomba

Abstract readMeta-AnalysisSystematic Review
In one paragraph

Synthesis in Clinical gastroenterology and hepatology : the official clinical practice journal of the American Gastroenterological Association, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 98 papers, 4 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
98citing papers in PubMed, 4 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

98 citing papers in PubMed, 4 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Pooled it
  3. Pooled it
  4. Pooled it
  5. Trial
  6. Article
  7. Review
  8. Review
  9. Ethanol reshapes FFC-driven steatohepatitis through time-dependent fibrosis and lipid-droplet remodeling.American journal of physiology. Gastrointestinal and liver physiology · 2026
    Article
  10. OPA1 controls mitochondrial dysfunction-driven liver fibrosis in MASLD.bioRxiv : the preprint server for biology · 2026
    Article
  11. Article
  12. Review
  13. Observational
  14. Review
  15. Drug Development for MASH-Related Compensated Cirrhosis: Past, Present and Future.Liver international : official journal of the International Association for the Study of the Liver · 2026
    Review
  16. Review
  17. Article
  18. Article
  19. Implications of Expanded Advanced Fibrosis Screening Strategies for Metabolic Dysfunction-Associated Steatotic Liver Disease in Primary Care.Endocrine practice : official journal of the American College of Endocrinology and the American Association of Clinical Endocrinologists · 2026
    Article
  20. Article

38 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors.

Cheng Han NgYong Loo Lin School of Medicine, National University of Singapore, Singapore.
Wen Hui LimYong Loo Lin School of Medicine, National University of Singapore, Singapore.
Grace En Hui LimLee Kong Chian School of Medicine, Nanyang Technological University, Singapore.
Darren Jun Hao TanYong Loo Lin School of Medicine, National University of Singapore, Singapore.
Nicholas SynYong Loo Lin School of Medicine, National University of Singapore, Singapore; Biostatistics & Modelling Domain, Saw Swee Hock School of Public Health, National University of Singapore, Singapore.
Mark D MuthiahYong Loo Lin School of Medicine, National University of Singapore, Singapore; Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Department of Medicine, National University Hospital, Singapore; National University Centre for Organ Transplantation, National University Health System, Singapore.
Daniel Q HuangYong Loo Lin School of Medicine, National University of Singapore, Singapore; Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Department of Medicine, National University Hospital, Singapore; National University Centre for Organ Transplantation, National University Health System, Singapore; NAFLD Research Centre, University of California at San Diego, La Jolla, California.
Rohit LoombaNAFLD Research Centre, University of California at San Diego, La Jolla, California; Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, University of California at San Diego, La Jolla, California. Electronic address: roloomba@ucsd.edu.

Funding

UC San Diego Clinical and Translational Research InstituteUL1TR001442 · NCATS · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA, SAN DIEGO · PI FIRESTEIN, GARY S, HOGARTH, MICHAEL · 2015 to 2024
$88.3M
Pediatric Trials in Non-Alcoholic Steatohepatitis (NASH)U01DK061734 · NIDDK · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA, SAN DIEGO · PI ROHIT LOOMBA · 2002 to 2026
$24.4M
Tissue-specific roles of FXR in CVD and NASHP01HL147835 · NHLBI · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA, SAN DIEGO · PI EVANS, RONALD M · 2020 to 2024
$12.2M
San Diego Digestive Diseases Research CenterP30DK120515 · NIDDK · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA, SAN DIEGO · PI Bernd G. Schnabl · 2019 to 2026
$10.8M
HIV MASLD Clinical Research Network (HCRN)R01DK121378 · NIDDK · INDIANA UNIVERSITY INDIANAPOLIS · PI NAGA P CHALASANI, ROHIT LOOMBA · 2020 to 2026
$8.7M
Novel IL-23 inhibitor for the treatment of alcohol associated liver diseaseU01AA029019 · NIAAA · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA, SAN DIEGO · PI KISSELEVA, TATIANA, LOOMBA, ROHIT · 2020 to 2024
$3.7M
QUS Technology for Diagnosis and Grading of Hepatic Steatosis in NAFLDR01DK106419 · NIDDK · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA, SAN DIEGO · PI LOOMBA, ROHIT, SIRLIN, CLAUDE B · 2015 to 2019
$3.4M
San Diego Cirrhosis Clinical Research NetworkU01DK130190 · NIDDK · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA, SAN DIEGO · PI ROHIT LOOMBA · 2021 to 2026
$2.3M
Non-invasive screening of diabetics for advanced fibrosis due to NAFLDR01DK124318 · NIDDK · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA, SAN DIEGO · PI LOOMBA, ROHIT · 2020 to 2022
$1.7M
NCATS NIH HHS UL1 TR001442NHLBI NIH HHS P01 HL147835NIAAA NIH HHS U01 AA029019NIDDK NIH HHS P30 DK120515NIDDK NIH HHS R01 DK106419NIDDK NIH HHS R01 DK121378NIDDK NIH HHS R01 DK124318NIDDK NIH HHS U01 DK061734NIDDK NIH HHS U01 DK130190
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

BACKGROUND &

aimsFibrosis is a key determinant of clinical outcomes in nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD), but time-dependent risk of mortality has not been reported in previous meta-analyses. We performed an updated time-to-event meta-analysis to provide robust estimates for all-cause and liver-related mortality in biopsy-confirmed NAFLD with comparisons between fibrosis stages.

methodsMedline and Embase databases were searched to include cohort studies reporting survival outcomes by fibrosis stage in biopsy-proven NAFLD. Survival estimates were pooled using reconstructed individual participant data. Conventional meta-analysis was conducted to pool adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) using DerSimonian and Laird random effects model.

resultsA total of 14 articles involving 17,301 patients with NAFLD were included. All-cause mortality at 1, 5, and 10 years for stage 0 to 2 fibrosis was 0.1%, 3.3%, and 7.7% vs 0.3%, 20.6%, and 41.5% for stage 4 fibrosis. Compared with stage 0 fibrosis, all-cause mortality increased with fibrosis stage: stage 2; HR, 1.46 (95% confidence interval [CI], 1.08-1.98), stage 3; HR, 1.96 (95% CI, 1.41-2.72), and stage 4; HR, 3.66 (95% CI, 2.65-5.05). Risk for liver-related mortality increased exponentially as fibrosis stage increased: stage 2; HR, 4.07 (95% CI, 1.44-11.5), stage 3; HR, 7.59 (95% CI, 2.80-20.5), and stage 4; HR, 15.1 (95% CI, 5.27-43.4). Stage 3 to 4 fibrosis had a higher all-cause (HR, 3.32) and liver-related mortality (HR, 10.40) compared with stage 0 to 2 fibrosis, whereas stage 4 fibrosis had higher all-cause (HR, 2.67; 95% CI, 1.47-4.83) and liver-related mortality (HR, 2.57; 95% CI, 1.22-5.42) vs stage 3 fibrosis.

conclusionsRisk of all-cause and liver-related mortality increases substantially with fibrosis stage. These data have important implications for prognostication and trial design.

Indexed as

Non-alcoholic Fatty Liver DiseaseBiopsyCohort StudiesFibrosisHumansLiver CirrhosisDisease ProgressionFibrosisLiver DiseaseMortality

Identifiers

PMID35513235
PMCPMC10792524

What OpenQuestion holds

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Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.