Evidence map›Paper›PMID 35512744›Full record

ArticleYonsei medical journal2022

Validation of Machine Learning Models to Predict Adverse Outcomes in Patients with COVID-19: A Prospective Pilot Study.

Hyung-Jun Kim, JoonNyung Heo, Deokjae Han, Hong Sang Oh

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Yonsei medical journal, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 4 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
4citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
0.6field-weighted citation impact, top 36% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

4 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 4 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors at 3 institutions in 1 country.

Hyung-Jun KimDivision of Pulmonary and Critical Care Medicine, Department of Internal Medicine, Seoul National University Bundang Hospital, Seongnam, Korea.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1984-8864
JoonNyung HeoDepartment of Neurology, Yonsei University College of Medicine, Seoul, Korea.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6287-6348
Deokjae HanDivision of Pulmonary and Critical Care Medicine, Department of Internal Medicine, Armed Forces Capital Hospital, Seongnam, Korea.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3203-0752
Hong Sang OhDivision of Infectious Diseases, Department of Internal Medicine, Armed Forces Capital Hospital, Seongnam, Korea. elvis_presly@naver.com.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4535-6305
Armed Forces Capital Hospital · KRSeoul National University Bundang Hospital · KRYonsei University · KR

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

purposeWe previously developed learning models for predicting the need for intensive care and oxygen among patients with coronavirus disease (COVID-19). Here, we aimed to prospectively validate the accuracy of these models. MATERIALS AND

methodsProbabilities of the need for intensive care [intensive care unit (ICU) score] and oxygen (oxygen score) were calculated from information provided by hospitalized COVID-19 patients (n=44) via a web-based application. The performance of baseline scores to predict 30-day outcomes was assessed.

resultsAmong 44 patients, 5 and 15 patients needed intensive care and oxygen, respectively. The area under the curve of ICU score and oxygen score to predict 30-day outcomes were 0.774 [95% confidence interval (CI): 0.614-0.934] and 0.728 (95% CI: 0.559-0.898), respectively. The ICU scores of patients needing intensive care increased daily by 0.71 points (95% CI: 0.20-1.22) after hospitalization and by 0.85 points (95% CI: 0.36-1.35) after symptom onset, which were significantly different from those in individuals not needing intensive care (

conclusionOur machine learning models showed good performance for predicting the outcomes of COVID-19 patients and could thus be useful for patient triage and monitoring.

Indexed as

COVID-19HospitalizationHumansIntensive Care UnitsMachine LearningOxygenPilot ProjectsProspective StudiesRetrospective StudiesOxygenCOVID-19machine learningprognosisprospective studiesvalidation study

Identifiers

PMID35512744
PMCPMC9086701
OpenAlexW4226002574

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.