Evidence map›Paper›PMID 35512244›Full record

SynthesisBJS open2022

Pathological complete response as a surrogate to improved survival in human epidermal growth factor receptor-2-positive breast cancer: systematic review and meta-analysis.

Matthew G Davey, Ferdia Browne, Nicola Miller, Aoife J Lowery, Michael J Kerin

Open access · goldAbstract readMeta-AnalysisSystematic Review
In one paragraph

Synthesis in BJS open, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 34 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
34citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
4.9field-weighted citation impact, top 3% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

34 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 53 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
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  10. Predictive factors for pCR and relapse following neoadjuvant dual HER2-blockade in HER2+ breast cancer: an international cohort study.Clinical & translational oncology : official publication of the Federation of Spanish Oncology Societies and of the National Cancer Institute of Mexico · 2025
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  18. Real-world experience with pertuzumab and trastuzumab combined with chemotherapy in neoadjuvant treatment for patients with early-stage HER2-positive breast cancer: the NEOPERSUR study.Clinical & translational oncology : official publication of the Federation of Spanish Oncology Societies and of the National Cancer Institute of Mexico · 2024
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors at 2 institutions in 1 country.

Matthew G DaveyDepartment of Surgery, Galway University Hospitals, Galway, Ireland.ORCID 0000-0002-9892-9920
Ferdia BrowneDepartment of Surgery, Galway University Hospitals, Galway, Ireland.
Nicola MillerThe Lambe Institute for Translational Research, National University of Ireland, Galway, Ireland.
Aoife J LoweryDepartment of Surgery, Galway University Hospitals, Galway, Ireland.
Michael J KerinDepartment of Surgery, Galway University Hospitals, Galway, Ireland.ORCID 0000-0003-4164-5561
Ollscoil na Gaillimhe – University of Galway · IEUniversity Hospital Galway · IE

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundAchieving a pathological complete response (pCR) is believed to correlate with oncological outcomes in human epidermal growth factor receptor-2-positive (HER2+) breast cancer. However, informed estimation of this survival advantage is often difficult to quantify. The aim of this study was to evaluate the role of pCR as a biomarker of survival in patients treated with neoadjuvant therapies for HER2+ breast cancer.

methodsA systematic review was performed in accordance with the PRISMA checklist. Data specific to pCR and survival with respect to event-free survival (EFS), recurrence-free survival (RFS) and overall survival (OS) were expressed as hazard ratio (HR) and 95 per cent confidence intervals (c.i.). pCR and survival at yearly intervals after resection were expressed as dichotomous variables using the Mantel-Haenszel method.

resultsOverall, 78 clinical studies with 25 150 patients were included in this study. pCR predicted better EFS (HR 0.67, 95 per cent c.i. 0.60 to 0.74; 41 studies), RFS (HR 0.69, 95 per cent c.i. 0.57 to 0.83; 18 studies) and OS (HR 0.63, 95 per cent c.i. 0.56 to 0.70; 29 studies) for patients with HER2+ breast cancer. At 5 years, pCR predicted better EFS (HR 0.37, 95 per cent c.i. 0.30 to 0.48; 19 studies), RFS (HR 0.28, 95 per cent c.i. 0.21 to 0.39; 8 studies) and OS (HR 0.26, 95 per cent c.i. 0.20 to 0.33; 10 studies).

conclusionThis study confirms pCR as an informative surrogate biomarker for enhanced survival and suggests that it may be used as an appropriate endpoint for clinical research.

Indexed as

Breast NeoplasmsBiomarkersErbB ReceptorsFemaleHumansNeoadjuvant TherapyProportional Hazards ModelsBiomarkersErbB Receptors

Identifiers

PMID35512244
PMCPMC9071230
OpenAlexW4213284123

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.