Evidence map›Paper›PMID 35512109›Full record

ArticleInternational journal of cancer2022

Now or later: Health impacts of delaying single-dose HPV vaccine implementation in a high-burden setting.

Emily A Burger, Jean-François Laprise, Stephen Sy, Mary Caroline Regan, Kiesha Prem, Mark Jit, Marc Brisson, Jane J Kim

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in International journal of cancer, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 13 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
13citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

13 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
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  5. Single-dose human papillomavirus vaccination: an update.Journal of the National Cancer Institute. Monographs · 2024
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors.

Emily A BurgerCenter for Health Decision Science, Harvard University T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, Massachusetts, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-6657-5849
Jean-François LapriseCentre de Recherche du CHU de Québec, Université Laval, Quebec, Canada.
Stephen SyCenter for Health Decision Science, Harvard University T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, Massachusetts, USA.
Mary Caroline ReganCenter for Health Decision Science, Harvard University T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, Massachusetts, USA.
Kiesha PremDepartment of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, Faculty of Epidemiology and Population Health, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, UK.
Mark JitDepartment of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, Faculty of Epidemiology and Population Health, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, UK.ORCID 0000-0001-6658-8255
Marc BrissonCentre de Recherche du CHU de Québec, Université Laval, Quebec, Canada.
Jane J KimCenter for Health Decision Science, Harvard University T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, Massachusetts, USA.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

We aimed to quantify the health impact of immediate introduction of a single-dose human papillomavirus (HPV) vaccination program in a high-burden setting, as waiting until forthcoming trials are completed to implement single-dose HPV vaccination may result in health losses, particularly for cohorts who would age-out of vaccination eligibility. Two mathematical models fitted to a high-burden setting projected cervical cancer incidence rates associated with (a) immediate implementation of one-dose HPV vaccination vs (b) waiting 5 years for evidence from randomized trials to determine if one- or two-doses should be implemented. We conducted analyses assuming a single dose was either noninferior or inferior to two doses. The models projected that immediate implementation of a noninferior single-dose vaccine led to a 7.2% to 9.6% increase in cancers averted between 2021 to 2120, compared to waiting 5 years. Health benefits remained greater with immediate implementation despite an inferior single-dose efficacy (80%), but revaccination of one-dose recipients became more important assuming vaccine waning. Under most circumstances, immediate vaccination avoided health losses for those aging out of vaccine eligibility, leading to greater health benefits than waiting for more information in 5 years.

Indexed as

Papillomavirus InfectionsPapillomavirus VaccinesUterine Cervical NeoplasmsFemaleHumansIncidenceVaccinationPapillomavirus Vaccinescervical cancerhuman papillomavirussimulation modelingvaccination

Identifiers

PMID35512109
PMCPMC9790243

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.