Evidence map›Paper›PMID 35511151›Full record

ArticleJournal of the American Medical Informatics Association : JAMIA2022

An objective framework for evaluating unrecognized bias in medical AI models predicting COVID-19 outcomes.

Hossein Estiri, Zachary H Strasser, Sina Rashidian, Jeffrey G Klann, Kavishwar B Wagholikar, Thomas H McCoy, Shawn N Murphy

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of the American Medical Informatics Association : JAMIA, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 20 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
20citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

20 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
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  15. Health Equity in Clinical Research Informatics.Yearbook of medical informatics · 2023
    Review
  16. Article
  17. Article
  18. Article
  19. The imperative of applying ethical perspectives to biomedical and health informatics.Journal of the American Medical Informatics Association : JAMIA · 2022
    Article
  20. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Hossein EstiriLaboratory of Computer Science, Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston, Massachusetts, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-0204-8978
Zachary H StrasserLaboratory of Computer Science, Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston, Massachusetts, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-4846-6059
Sina RashidianVerily Life Sciences, Boston, Massachusetts, USA.ORCID 0000-0003-1210-2939
Jeffrey G KlannLaboratory of Computer Science, Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston, Massachusetts, USA.ORCID 0000-0003-2043-1601
Kavishwar B WagholikarLaboratory of Computer Science, Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston, Massachusetts, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-6219-861X
Thomas H McCoyCenter for Quantitative Health, Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston, Massachusetts, USA.
Shawn N MurphyLaboratory of Computer Science, Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston, Massachusetts, USA.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectiveThe increasing translation of artificial intelligence (AI)/machine learning (ML) models into clinical practice brings an increased risk of direct harm from modeling bias; however, bias remains incompletely measured in many medical AI applications. This article aims to provide a framework for objective evaluation of medical AI from multiple aspects, focusing on binary classification models. MATERIALS AND

methodsUsing data from over 56 000 Mass General Brigham (MGB) patients with confirmed severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2), we evaluate unrecognized bias in 4 AI models developed during the early months of the pandemic in Boston, Massachusetts that predict risks of hospital admission, ICU admission, mechanical ventilation, and death after a SARS-CoV-2 infection purely based on their pre-infection longitudinal medical records. Models were evaluated both retrospectively and prospectively using model-level metrics of discrimination, accuracy, and reliability, and a novel individual-level metric for error.

resultsWe found inconsistent instances of model-level bias in the prediction models. From an individual-level aspect, however, we found most all models performing with slightly higher error rates for older patients. DISCUSSION: While a model can be biased against certain protected groups (ie, perform worse) in certain tasks, it can be at the same time biased towards another protected group (ie, perform better). As such, current bias evaluation studies may lack a full depiction of the variable effects of a model on its subpopulations.

conclusionOnly a holistic evaluation, a diligent search for unrecognized bias, can provide enough information for an unbiased judgment of AI bias that can invigorate follow-up investigations on identifying the underlying roots of bias and ultimately make a change.

Indexed as

COVID-19Artificial IntelligenceHumansReproducibility of ResultsRetrospective StudiesSARS-CoV-2biasCOVID-19electronic health recordsmedical AIpredictive model

Identifiers

PMID35511151
PMCPMC9277645

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY-NC
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.