Evidence map›Paper›PMID 35509519›Full record

ArticleVaccine: X2022

The potential cost-effectiveness of HPV vaccination among girls in Mongolia.

Munkh-Erdene Luvsan, Elisabeth Vodicka, Uranbolor Jugder, Undarmaa Tudev, Andy Clark, Devin Groman, Dashpagam Otgonbayar, Sodbayar Demberelsuren, D Scott LaMongtagne, Clint Pecenka

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Vaccine: X, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
0.6field-weighted citation impact, top 33% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed, 4 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Article
  2. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

10 authors at 5 institutions in 3 countries.

Munkh-Erdene LuvsanDepartment of Health Policy, School of Public Health, Mongolian National University of Medical Sciences, Rm. 334. Sukhbaatar District, S.Zorig Street, Ulaanbaatar, Mongolia.
Elisabeth VodickaPATH, Seattle, WA, USA.
Uranbolor JugderDepartment of Cancer Registry Surveillance, Early Detection, National Cancer Center, Nam-Yan Ju Street, Bayanzurkh District, Ulaanbaatar 13370, Mongolia.
Undarmaa TudevDepartment of Cancer Registry Surveillance, Early Detection, National Cancer Center, Nam-Yan Ju Street, Bayanzurkh District, Ulaanbaatar 13370, Mongolia.
Andy ClarkLondon School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, Department of Health Services Research and Policy, London, United Kingdom.
Devin GromanPATH, Seattle, WA, USA.
Dashpagam OtgonbayarDepartment of Immunization, National Center for Communicable Disease, Ministry of Health, Nam-Yan Ju Street 32/1, Bayanzurkh District, Ulaanbaatar 13335, Mongolia.
Sodbayar DemberelsurenWorld Health Organization Representative Office Mongolia, Government Building VIII, Olympic Street 2, Sukhbaatar District, Ulaanbaatar 14210, Mongolia.
D Scott LaMongtagnePATH, Seattle, WA, USA.
Clint PecenkaPATH, Seattle, WA, USA.
Program for Appropriate Technology in Health · USNational Center for Communicable Diseases · MNLondon School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine · GBMinistry of Health · MNMongolian National University of Medical Sciences · MN

Funding

World Health Organization 001
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Introduction: Cervical cancer is a leading cause of cancer among women in Mongolia with an age-standardized incidence rate of 23.5 per 100,000. HPV vaccination has not been introduced nationally and Gavi co-financing support is not available in Mongolia. Extended Gavi pricing for HPV vaccine may be available from vaccine manufacturers for a number of years. To inform introduction decision-making, we evaluated the potential cost-effectiveness of HPV vaccination among girls and young women in Mongolia. Methods: We used UNIVAC (version 1.4), a static decision model, to evaluate the health and economic outcomes of single-cohort vaccination among females from the government perspective compared to no vaccination. We modeled vaccine introduction over 10 birth cohorts starting in 2022 comparing quadrivalent or bivalent vaccine selection and vaccine pricing variations. We used locally-specific data for cancer incidence, mortality, treatment and costs. Model outcomes included cancer cases, hospitalizations, deaths, disability-adjusted life years (DALY), and costs presented in 2018 USD. Incremental costs and health outcomes were discounted at 3% and aggregated into an Incremental Cost-Effectiveness Ratio (ICER). Results: The base-case scenario of HPV vaccination among 9 year-old girls was projected to avert 5,692 cervical cancer cases, 3,240 deaths, and 11,886 DALYs and incur $2.4-3.1M more costs compared to no vaccination. At prices of ($4.50-$4.60/dose), we estimated an ICER of $166-$265/DALY averted among 9-year-olds. When price per dose was increased to reported mean vaccine purchase price for non-Gavi LMICs ($14.17/dose), the ICER ranged from $556-820/DALY averted. Conclusion: HPV vaccination among girls is highly likely to be a cost-effective investment in Mongolia compared to no vaccination with projected ICERs less than 20% of the 2018 GDP per capita of $3,735.

Indexed as

Cost-effectivenessDALYHPVICERMongoliaVaccination

Identifiers

PMID35509519
PMCPMC9059071
OpenAlexW4224911268

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.