ArticleScience advances2022
Future bioenergy expansion could alter carbon sequestration potential and exacerbate water stress in the United States.
Article in Science advances, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 7 papers.
What it found
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The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
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Who cites it
7 citing papers in PubMed.
- Global overlooked multidimensional water scarcity.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2025Article
- Sustainable bioenergy contributes to cost-effective climate change mitigation in China.iScience · 2024Article
- Quasi-waffle solar distiller for durable desalination of seawater.Science advances · 2024Article
- A bioenergy-focused versus a reforestation-focused mitigation pathway yields disparate carbon storage and climate responses.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2024Article
- Investing in mini-livestock production for food security and carbon neutrality in China.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2023Article
- Increased precipitation over land due to climate feedback of large-scale bioenergy cultivation.Nature communications · 2023Article
- Global expansion of sustainable irrigation limited by water storage.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2022Article
Corrections and comments
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Authors and funding
8 authors.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
The maximum future projected bioenergy expansion potential, in scenarios limiting warming to 2°C or below, is equivalent to half of present-day croplands. We quantify the impacts of large-scale bioenergy expansion against re/afforestation, which remain elusive, using an integrated human-natural system modeling framework with explicit representation of perennial bioenergy crops. The end-of-century net carbon sequestration due to bioenergy deployment coupled with carbon capture and storage largely depends on fossil fuel displacement types, ranging from 11.4 to 31.2 PgC over the conterminous United States. These net carbon sequestration benefits are inclusive of a 10 PgC carbon release due to land use conversions and a 2.4 PgC loss of additional carbon sink capacity associated with bioenergy-driven deforestation. Moreover, nearly one-fourth of U.S. land areas will suffer severe water stress by 2100 due to either reduced availability or deteriorated quality. These broader impacts of bioenergy expansion should be weighed against the costs and benefits of re/afforestation-based strategies.
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Registered trials
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