Evidence map›Paper›PMID 35503455›Full record

ArticleJournal of surgical oncology2022

Conventional regression analysis and machine learning in prediction of anastomotic leakage and pulmonary complications after esophagogastric cancer surgery.

Robert T van Kooten, Renu R Bahadoer, Bouwdewijn Ter Buurkes de Vries, Michel W J M Wouters, Rob A E M Tollenaar, Henk H Hartgrink, Hein Putter, Johan L Dikken

Open access · hybridAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of surgical oncology, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 18 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
18citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
5.0field-weighted citation impact, top 4% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

18 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 24 citations in OpenAlex.

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  12. Utilizing machine learning approaches to investigate the relationship between cystatin C and serious complications in esophageal cancer patients after esophagectomy.Supportive care in cancer : official journal of the Multinational Association of Supportive Care in Cancer · 2024
    Observational
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors at 1 institution in 1 country.

Robert T van KootenDepartment of Surgery, Leiden University Medical Center, Leiden, The Netherlands.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-9633-7289
Renu R BahadoerDepartment of Surgery, Leiden University Medical Center, Leiden, The Netherlands.
Bouwdewijn Ter Buurkes de VriesDepartment of Biomedical Data Sciences, Leiden University Medical Center, Leiden, The Netherlands.
Michel W J M WoutersDepartment of Biomedical Data Sciences, Leiden University Medical Center, Leiden, The Netherlands.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-6173-0662
Rob A E M TollenaarDepartment of Surgery, Leiden University Medical Center, Leiden, The Netherlands.
Henk H HartgrinkDepartment of Surgery, Leiden University Medical Center, Leiden, The Netherlands.
Hein PutterDepartment of Biomedical Data Sciences, Leiden University Medical Center, Leiden, The Netherlands.
Johan L DikkenDepartment of Surgery, Leiden University Medical Center, Leiden, The Netherlands.
Leiden University Medical Center · NL

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

BACKGROUND AND

objectivesWith the current advanced data-driven approach to health care, machine learning is gaining more interest. The current study investigates the added value of machine learning to linear regression in predicting anastomotic leakage and pulmonary complications after upper gastrointestinal cancer surgery.

methodsAll patients in the Dutch Upper Gastrointestinal Cancer Audit undergoing curatively intended esophageal or gastric cancer surgeries from 2011 to 2017 were included. Anastomotic leakage was defined as any clinically or radiologically proven anastomotic leakage. Pulmonary complications entailed: pneumonia, pleural effusion, respiratory failure, pneumothorax, and/or acute respiratory distress syndrome. Different machine learning models were tested. Nomograms were constructed using Least Absolute Shrinkage and Selection Operator.

resultsBetween 2011 and 2017, 4228 patients underwent surgical resection for esophageal cancer, of which 18% developed anastomotic leakage and 30% a pulmonary complication. Of the 2199 patients with surgical resection for gastric cancer, 7% developed anastomotic leakage and 15% a pulmonary complication. In all cases, linear regression had the highest predictive value with the area under the curves varying between 61.9 and 68.0, but the difference with machine learning models did not reach statistical significance.

conclusionMachine learning models can predict postoperative complications in upper gastrointestinal cancer surgery, but they do not outperform the current gold standard, linear regression.

Indexed as

Esophageal NeoplasmsStomach NeoplasmsAnastomotic LeakHumansMachine LearningPostoperative ComplicationsRegression AnalysisRetrospective StudiesRisk Factorscancercomplicationsmachine learningmortalityrisk factorsupper gastrointestinal surgery

Identifiers

PMID35503455
PMCPMC9544929
OpenAlexW4225310447

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.