Evidence map›Paper›PMID 35501789›Full record

ArticleBMC medical informatics and decision making2022

Prediction of unplanned 30-day readmission for ICU patients with heart failure.

M Pishgar, J Theis, M Del Rios, A Ardati, H Anahideh, H Darabi

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMC medical informatics and decision making, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 24 papers, 3 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
24citing papers in PubMed, 3 pooled it
6.6field-weighted citation impact, top 3% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

24 citing papers in PubMed, 3 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 48 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
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  6. ClinNoteAgents: An LLM Multi-Agent System for Predicting and Interpreting Heart Failure 30-Day Readmission from Clinical Notes.AMIA Joint Summits on Translational Science proceedings. AMIA Joint Summits on Translational Science · 2026
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  15. Prediction of 30-day mortality for ICU patients with Sepsis-3.BMC medical informatics and decision making · 2024
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  20. [Advances in heart failure clinical research based on deep learning].Sheng wu yi xue gong cheng xue za zhi = Journal of biomedical engineering = Shengwu yixue gongchengxue zazhi · 2023
    Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors at 2 institutions in 1 country.

M PishgarDepartment of Mechanical and Industrial Engineering, University of Illinois at Chicago, 842 W Taylor Street, MC 251, Chicago, IL, 60607, USA.
J TheisDepartment of Mechanical and Industrial Engineering, University of Illinois at Chicago, 842 W Taylor Street, MC 251, Chicago, IL, 60607, USA.
M Del RiosDepartment of Emergency Medicine, Roy J. and Lucille A. Carver College of Medicine, University of Iowa, Iowa City, USA.
A ArdatiDepartment of Cardiology Medicine, University of Illinois at Chicago, Chicago, USA.
H AnahidehDepartment of Mechanical and Industrial Engineering, University of Illinois at Chicago, 842 W Taylor Street, MC 251, Chicago, IL, 60607, USA.
H DarabiDepartment of Mechanical and Industrial Engineering, University of Illinois at Chicago, 842 W Taylor Street, MC 251, Chicago, IL, 60607, USA. hdarabi@uic.edu.
University of Illinois Chicago · USUniversity of Iowa · US

Funding

Occupational Safety and Health, ERC, University of Illinois at ChicagoT42OH008672 · OH · UNIVERSITY OF ILLINOIS AT CHICAGO · PI BUCHANAN, SUSAN NATHALIE · 2005 to 2025
$32.7M
NIOSH CDC HHS T42 OH008672
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundIntensive Care Unit (ICU) readmissions in patients with heart failure (HF) result in a significant risk of death and financial burden for patients and healthcare systems. Prediction of at-risk patients for readmission allows for targeted interventions that reduce morbidity and mortality. METHODS AND

resultsWe presented a process mining/deep learning approach for the prediction of unplanned 30-day readmission of ICU patients with HF. A patient's health records can be understood as a sequence of observations called event logs; used to discover a process model. Time information was extracted using the DREAM (Decay Replay Mining) algorithm. Demographic information and severity scores upon admission were then combined with the time information and fed to a neural network (NN) model to further enhance the prediction efficiency. Additionally, several machine learning (ML) algorithms were developed to be used as the baseline models for the comparison of the results.

resultsBy using the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care III (MIMIC-III) dataset of 3411 ICU patients with HF, our proposed model yielded an area under the receiver operating characteristics (AUROC) of 0.930, 95% confidence interval of [0.898-0.960], the precision of 0.886, sensitivity of 0.805, accuracy of 0.841, and F-score of 0.800 which were far better than the results of the best baseline model and the existing literature.

conclusionsThe proposed approach was capable of modeling the time-related variables and incorporating the medical history of patients from prior hospital visits for prediction. Thus, our approach significantly improved the outcome prediction compared to that of other ML-based models and health calculators.

Indexed as

Heart FailurePatient ReadmissionCritical CareHumansIntensive Care UnitsMachine LearningDeep learningHeart failureHospital readmissionProcess mining

Identifiers

PMID35501789
PMCPMC9063206
OpenAlexW4225275371

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.