Evidence map›Paper›PMID 35497796›Full record

ArticleKidney international reports2022

Prediction of Incident Heart Failure in CKD: The CRIC Study.

Leila R Zelnick, Michael G Shlipak, Elsayed Z Soliman, Amanda Anderson, Robert Christenson, Mayank Kansal, Rajat Deo, Jiang He, Bernard G Jaar, Matthew R Weir and 7 more

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Kidney international reports, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 21 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
21citing papers in PubMed
3.8field-weighted citation impact, top 6% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

21 citing papers in PubMed, 25 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Cardiac Biomarkers in Chronic Kidney Disease: Signal or Noise?Clinical journal of the American Society of Nephrology : CJASN · 2026
    Review
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. Article
  11. Review
  12. Article
  13. Myocardial work in chronic kidney disease: insights from the CPH-CKD ECHO Study.Clinical research in cardiology : official journal of the German Cardiac Society · 2024
    Article
  14. Global epidemiology of heart failure.Nature reviews. Cardiology · 2024
    Review
  15. Article
  16. Article
  17. Review
  18. Article
  19. Article
  20. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

17 authors at 10 institutions in 1 country.

Leila R ZelnickKidney Research Institute, Department of Medicine (Nephrology), University of Washington, Seattle, Washington, USA.
Michael G ShlipakDepartment of Medicine, University of California San Francisco, San Francisco, California, USA.
Elsayed Z SolimanDepartment of Internal Medicine (Cardiology), Wake Forest University, Winston-Salem, North Carolina, USA.
Amanda AndersonDepartment of Epidemiology, Tulane University, New Orleans, Louisiana, USA.
Robert ChristensonDepartment of Pathology, University of Maryland, Baltimore, Maryland, USA.
Mayank KansalDepartment of Medicine, University of Illinois at Chicago, Chicago, Illinois, USA.
Rajat DeoDepartment of Medicine, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, USA.
Jiang HeDepartment of Epidemiology, Tulane University, New Orleans, Louisiana, USA.
Bernard G JaarDepartment of Medicine, Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, Maryland, USA.
Matthew R WeirDepartment of Medicine, University of Maryland, Baltimore, Maryland, USA.
Panduranga RaoDepartment of Internal Medicine, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, Michigan, USA.
Debbie L CohenDepartment of Medicine, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, USA.
Jordana B CohenDepartment of Medicine, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, USA.
Harold I FeldmanDepartment of Medicine, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, USA.
Alan GoKaiser Permanente Northern California, Oakland, California, USA.
Nisha BansalKidney Research Institute, Department of Medicine (Nephrology), University of Washington, Seattle, Washington, USA.
CRIC Study Investigators
University of Pennsylvania · USKaiser Permanente · USTulane University · USUniversity of Maryland, Baltimore · USUniversity of Michigan · USUniversity of Washington · USJohns Hopkins University · USUniversity of California, San Francisco · USUniversity of Illinois Chicago · USWake Forest University · US

Funding

UCSF CLINICAL AND TRANSLATIONAL SCIENCE INSTITUTEUL1RR024131 · NCRR · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA, SAN FRANCISCO · PI JOHNSTON, S. CLAIBORNE · 2006 to 2011
$111.2M
Scientific and Data Coordinating Center(SDCC) for the P*U01DK060990 · NIDDK · UNIVERSITY OF PENNSYLVANIA · PI FELDMAN, HAROLD I · 2001 to 2017
$50.1M
Clinical and Translational Science Collaborative of ClevelandUL1TR000439 · NCATS · CASE WESTERN RESERVE UNIVERSITY · PI KONSTAN, MICHAEL W. · 2012 to 2016
$50.0M
Michigan Institute for Clinical and Health Research (MCHR)UL1TR000433 · NCATS · UNIVERSITY OF MICHIGAN AT ANN ARBOR · PI MASHOUR, GEORGE ALEXANDER · 2012 to 2016
$49.9M
Institutional Clinical and Translational Science AwardUL1TR000003 · NCATS · UNIVERSITY OF PENNSYLVANIA · PI FITZGERALD, GARRET A · 2012 to 2015
$38.9M
Tulane COBRE in Cardiometabolic Diseases Clinical Research CoreP20GM109036 · NIGMS · TULANE UNIVERSITY OF LOUISIANA · PI Ning Liu · 2016 to 2026
$25.3M
Continuation of the Coordinating Center for the Chronic Renal Insufficiency Cohort (CRIC) StudyU24DK060990 · NIDDK · UNIVERSITY OF PENNSYLVANIA · PI Amanda Hyre Anderson, Laura M Dember · 2018 to 2026
$21.5M
Zonulin Antibodies in Intestinal Permeabilitiy in IDDMM01RR016500 · NCRR · UNIVERSITY OF MARYLAND BALTIMORE · PI ONUKWUGHA, EBERECHUKWU · 2002 to 2009
$20.2M
Study of the Care and Outcomes of REnal InsufficiencyU01DK060902 · NIDDK · KAISER FOUNDATION RESEARCH INSTITUTE · PI GO, ALAN S · 2001 to 2025
$19.5M
Limited Competition for the Continuation of the Chronic Renal Insufficiency CohorU01DK061021 · NIDDK · CASE WESTERN RESERVE UNIVERSITY · PI RAHMAN, MAHBOOB · 2001 to 2025
$17.3M
Prospective Renal Insufficiency Cohort Evaluation:PRICEU01DK060984 · NIDDK · UNIVERSITY OF PENNSYLVANIA · PI COHEN, DEBBIE L · 2001 to 2025
$17.0M
Prospective Cohort Study of Chronic Renal InsufficiencyU01DK061028 · NIDDK · UNIVERSITY OF MICHIGAN AT ANN ARBOR · PI RAO, PANDURANGA S · 2001 to 2025
$16.9M
NCATS NIH HHS UL1 TR000003NCATS NIH HHS UL1 TR000424NCATS NIH HHS UL1 TR000433NCATS NIH HHS UL1 TR000439NCRR NIH HHS M01 RR016500NCRR NIH HHS UL1 RR024131NCRR NIH HHS UL1 RR029879NIDDK NIH HHS R01 DK103612NIDDK NIH HHS R01 DK119199NIDDK NIH HHS U01 DK060902NIDDK NIH HHS U01 DK060963NIDDK NIH HHS U01 DK060980NIDDK NIH HHS U01 DK060984NIDDK NIH HHS U01 DK060990NIDDK NIH HHS U01 DK061021NIDDK NIH HHS U01 DK061022NIDDK NIH HHS U01 DK061028NIDDK NIH HHS U24 DK060990NIGMS NIH HHS P20 GM109036
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Introduction: Heart failure (HF) is common in chronic kidney disease (CKD); identifying patients with CKD at high risk for HF may guide clinical care. We assessed the prognostic value of cardiac biomarkers and echocardiographic variables for 10-year HF prediction compared with a published clinical HF prediction equation in a cohort of participants with CKD. Methods: We studied 2147 Chronic Renal Insufficiency Cohort (CRIC) participants without prior HF with complete clinical, cardiac biomarker (N-terminal brain natriuretic peptide [NT-proBNP] and high sensitivity troponin-T [hsTnT]), and echocardiographic data (left ventricular mass [LVM] and left ventricular ejection fraction [LVEF] data). We compared the discrimination of the 11-variable Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) HF prediction equation with LVM, LVEF, hsTnT, and NT-proBNP to predict 10-year risk of hospitalization for HF using a Fine and Gray modeling approach. We separately evaluated prediction of HF with preserved and reduced LVEF (LVEF ≥50% and <50%, respectively). We assessed discrimination with internally valid C-indices using 10-fold cross-validation. Results: Participants' mean (SD) age was 59 (11) years, 53% were men, 43% were Black, and mean (SD) estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) was 44 (16) ml/min per 1.73 m Conclusion: The ARIC HF prediction model for 10-year HF risk had modest discrimination among adults with CKD. NT-proBNP and hsTnT discriminated better than the ARIC HF model and at least as well as a model with echocardiographic variables. HF clinical prediction models tailored to adults with CKD are needed. Until then, measurement of NT-proBNP and hsTnT may be a low-burden approach to predicting HF in this population, as they offer moderate discrimination.

Indexed as

biomarkerscardiovascular diseasechronic kidney diseaseechocardiogramheart failure

Identifiers

PMID35497796
PMCPMC9039424
OpenAlexW4210710827

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.