Evidence map›Paper›PMID 35497064›Full record

ArticleEClinicalMedicine2022

The current and future incidence and mortality of gastric cancer in 185 countries, 2020-40: A population-based modelling study.

Eileen Morgan, Melina Arnold, M Constanza Camargo, Andrea Gini, Andrew T Kunzmann, Tomohiro Matsuda, Filip Meheus, Rob H A Verhoeven, Jérôme Vignat, Mathieu Laversanne and 2 more

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in EClinicalMedicine, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 482 papers, 7 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
482citing papers in PubMed, 7 pooled it
142.8field-weighted citation impact, top 1% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

482 citing papers in PubMed, 7 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 693 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. A systematic review of factors associated with the patient and diagnostic intervals in gastric cancer.Gastric cancer : official journal of the International Gastric Cancer Association and the Japanese Gastric Cancer Association · 2026
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  17. Sensitivity and specificity of endoscopic and radiographic screening for localized gastric cancer in a real-world, population-based setting.Gastric cancer : official journal of the International Gastric Cancer Association and the Japanese Gastric Cancer Association · 2026
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  19. Clinical impact of CT-defined sarcopenia on long-term oncological outcomes in gastric cancer: validation of muscle mass cut-offs established according to EWGSOP recommendations.Gastric cancer : official journal of the International Gastric Cancer Association and the Japanese Gastric Cancer Association · 2026
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422 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

12 authors at 4 institutions in 4 countries.

Eileen MorganCancer Surveillance Branch, International Agency for Research on Cancer, 150 Cours Albert Thomas, Lyon 69372 CEDEX 08, France.
Melina ArnoldCancer Surveillance Branch, International Agency for Research on Cancer, 150 Cours Albert Thomas, Lyon 69372 CEDEX 08, France.
M Constanza CamargoDivision of Cancer Epidemiology and Genetics, National Cancer Institute, National Institutes of Health, Bethesda, MD, United States.
Andrea GiniCancer Surveillance Branch, International Agency for Research on Cancer, 150 Cours Albert Thomas, Lyon 69372 CEDEX 08, France.
Andrew T KunzmannCentre for Public Health, Queen's University Belfast, Belfast, Northern Ireland, United Kingdom.
Tomohiro MatsudaNational Cancer Registry Section, Center for Cancer Registries, Center for Cancer Control and Information Services National Cancer Center, Tokyo, Japan.
Filip MeheusCancer Surveillance Branch, International Agency for Research on Cancer, 150 Cours Albert Thomas, Lyon 69372 CEDEX 08, France.
Rob H A VerhoevenDepartment of Research and Development, Netherlands Comprehensive Cancer Organisation, Utrecht, the Netherland.
Jérôme VignatCancer Surveillance Branch, International Agency for Research on Cancer, 150 Cours Albert Thomas, Lyon 69372 CEDEX 08, France.
Mathieu LaversanneCancer Surveillance Branch, International Agency for Research on Cancer, 150 Cours Albert Thomas, Lyon 69372 CEDEX 08, France.
Jacques FerlayCancer Surveillance Branch, International Agency for Research on Cancer, 150 Cours Albert Thomas, Lyon 69372 CEDEX 08, France.
Isabelle SoerjomataramCancer Surveillance Branch, International Agency for Research on Cancer, 150 Cours Albert Thomas, Lyon 69372 CEDEX 08, France.
Centre international de recherche sur le cancer · FRNational Institutes of Health · USNetherlands Comprehensive Cancer Organisation · NLQueen's University Belfast · GB

Funding

World Health Organization 001
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Background: To examine global patterns of gastric cancer in 2020 and the projected burden in 2040. Methods: Data on primary gastric cancer were extracted from the GLOBOCAN database for the year 2020. Age-standardized incidence and mortality rates were calculated by sex, country, world region and level of human development index (HDI) for 185 countries. The predicted burden of incidence and mortality in 2040 was calculated based on demographic projections. Findings: In total, ∼1.1 million new cases and 770,000 deaths of gastric cancer were estimated in 2020. Incidence rates were on average 2-fold higher in males than females (15.8 and 7.0 per 100,000, respectively) with variation across countries. Highest incidence rates were observed in Eastern Asia for both males and females (32.5 and 13.2, respectively); males residing in Japan (48.1), Mongolia (47.2) and Korea (39.7) had the highest rates in the world. Incidence was lowest in Africa with incidence rates < 5 per 100,000. Highest mortality rates were observed in Eastern Asia for both males (21.1) and females (8.8). A lower share of deaths was observed in very high HDI countries compared to medium and low HDI countries. The annual burden of gastric cancer is predicted to increase to ∼1.8 million new cases and ∼1.3 million deaths by 2040. Interpretation: These estimates of the global burden of gastric cancer pinpoint countries and regions of high incidence and mortality in need of cancer control initiatives. Primary prevention through eradication of Funding: No direct funding was received. All authors had access to the included study data and all authors agreed with the final decision to submit for publication.

Indexed as

EpidemiologyGastric cancerIncidenceMortality

Identifiers

PMID35497064
PMCPMC9046108
OpenAlexW4224228275

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.