Evidence map›Paper›PMID 35488506›Full record

SynthesisResearch synthesis methods2022

Meta-analysis of dichotomous and ordinal tests with an imperfect gold standard.

Enzo Cerullo, Hayley E Jones, Olivia Carter, Terry J Quinn, Nicola J Cooper, Alex J Sutton

Abstract readMeta-Analysis
In one paragraph

Synthesis in Research synthesis methods, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 4 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
4citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

4 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Enzo CerulloBiostatistics Research Group, Department of Health Sciences, University of Leicester, Leicester, Leicestershire, UK.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5036-4564
Hayley E JonesPopulation Health Sciences, Bristol Medical School, University of Bristol, Bristol, UK.
Olivia CarterIndependent Researcher, Leicester, UK.
Terry J QuinnInstitute of Cardiovascular and Medical Sciences, University of Glasgow, Glasgow, Scotland, UK.
Nicola J CooperBiostatistics Research Group, Department of Health Sciences, University of Leicester, Leicester, Leicestershire, UK.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4486-2791
Alex J SuttonBiostatistics Research Group, Department of Health Sciences, University of Leicester, Leicester, Leicestershire, UK.

Funding

Medical Research Council MR/M014533/1Medical Research Council MR/T044594/1
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Standard methods for the meta-analysis of medical tests, without assuming a gold standard, are limited to dichotomous data. Multivariate probit models are used to analyse correlated dichotomous data, and can be extended to model ordinal data. Within the context of an imperfect gold standard, they have previously been used for the analysis of dichotomous and ordinal test data from a single study, and for the meta-analysis of dichotomous tests. However, they have not previously been used for the meta-analysis of ordinal tests. In this article, we developed a Bayesian multivariate probit latent class model for the simultaneous meta-analysis of ordinal and dichotomous tests without assuming a gold standard, which also allows one to obtain summary estimates of joint test accuracy. We fitted the models using the software Stan, which uses a state-of-the-art Hamiltonian Monte Carlo algorithm, and we applied the models to a dataset in which studies evaluated the accuracy of tests, and test combinations, for deep vein thrombosis. We demonstrate the issues with dichotomising ordinal test accuracy data in the presence of an imperfect gold standard, before applying and comparing several variations of our proposed model which do not require the data to be dichotomised. The models proposed will allow researchers to more appropriately meta-analyse ordinal and dichotomous tests without a gold standard, potentially leading to less biased estimates of test accuracy. This may lead to a better understanding of which tests, and test combinations, should be used for any given medical condition.

Indexed as

AlgorithmsModels, StatisticalBayes TheoremDiagnostic Tests, RoutineMonte Carlo MethodSoftwareimperfect goldlatent classmeta-analysismultivariate probitordinal teststest accuracy

Identifiers

PMID35488506
PMCPMC9541315

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.