Evidence map›Paper›PMID 35488282›Full record

ArticleBMC public health2022

Projecting years in good health between age 50-69 by education in the Netherlands until 2030 using several health indicators - an application in the context of a changing pension age.

Jose R Rubio Valverde, Johan P Mackenbach, Anja M B De Waegenaere, Bertrand Melenberg, Pintao Lyu, Wilma J Nusselder

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Article in BMC public health, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 5 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
5citing papers in PubMed
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1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

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3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

5 citing papers in PubMed.

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4 · The record

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PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Jose R Rubio ValverdeDepartment of Public Health, Erasmus MC, Rotterdam, the Netherlands. rubiojose84@gmail.com.
Johan P MackenbachDepartment of Public Health, Erasmus MC, Rotterdam, the Netherlands.
Anja M B De WaegenaereSchool of Economics and Management, Tilburg University, Tilburg, the Netherlands.
Bertrand MelenbergSchool of Economics and Management, Tilburg University, Tilburg, the Netherlands.
Pintao LyuSchool of Economics and Management, Tilburg University, Tilburg, the Netherlands.
Wilma J NusselderDepartment of Public Health, Erasmus MC, Rotterdam, the Netherlands.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectiveWe investigate whether there are changes over time in years in good health people can expect to live above (surplus) or below (deficit) the pension age, by level of attained education, for the past (2006), present (2018) and future (2030) in the Netherlands.

methodsWe used regression analysis to estimate linear trends in prevalence of four health indicators: self-assessed health (SAH), the Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) functional limitation indicator, the OECD indicator without hearing and seeing, and the activities-of-daily-living (ADL) disability indicator, for individuals between 50 and 69 years of age, by age category, gender and education using the Dutch National Health Survey (1989-2018). We combined these prevalence estimates with past and projected mortality data to obtain estimates of years lived in good health. We calculated how many years individuals are expected to live in good health above (surplus) or below (deficit) the pension age for the three points in time. The pension ages used were 65 years for 2006, 66 years for 2018 and 67.25 years for 2030.

resultsBoth for low educated men and women, our analyses show an increasing deficit of years in good health relative to the pension age for most outcomes, particularly for the SAH and OECD indicator. For high educated we find a decreasing surplus of years lived in good health for all indicators with the exception of SAH. For women, absolute inequalities in the deficit or surplus of years in good health between low and high educated appear to be increasing over time.

conclusionsSocio-economic inequalities in trends of mortality and the prevalence of ill-health, combined with increasing statutory pension age, impact the low educated more adversely than the high educated. Policies are needed to mitigate the increasing deficit of years in good health relative to the pension age, particularly among the low educated.

Indexed as

PensionsPersons with DisabilitiesAgedEducational StatusFemaleHealth SurveysHumansMaleMiddle AgedNetherlandsIll-healthRetirementSocioeconomic position

Identifiers

PMID35488282
PMCPMC9055744

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.