Evidence map›Paper›PMID 35483720›Full record

ArticleTobacco control2023

Impact of Canada's menthol cigarette ban on quitting among menthol smokers: pooled analysis of pre-post evaluation from the ITC Project and the Ontario Menthol Ban Study and projections of impact in the USA.

Geoffrey T Fong, Janet Chung-Hall, Gang Meng, Lorraine V Craig, Mary E Thompson, Anne C K Quah, K Michael Cummings, Andrew Hyland, Richard J O'Connor, David T Levy and 7 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Tobacco control, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 26 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
26citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

26 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

  1. The Impact of Menthol Cigarette Bans: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis.Nicotine & tobacco research : official journal of the Society for Research on Nicotine and Tobacco · 2025
    Pooled it
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  16. Evidence-Based Post-Ban Research to Inform Effective Menthol Cigarette Bans in the United States and Other Jurisdictions.Nicotine & tobacco research : official journal of the Society for Research on Nicotine and Tobacco · 2024
    Article
  17. Use of Menthol Cigarettes and Accessories Among Youth Who Smoked After the Menthol Cigarette Ban in England and Canada, 2021: Implications for Health Equity.Nicotine & tobacco research : official journal of the Society for Research on Nicotine and Tobacco · 2024
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

17 authors.

Geoffrey T FongDepartment of Psychology, University of Waterloo, Waterloo, Ontario, Canada gfong@uwaterloo.ca.ORCID 0000-0001-9098-6472
Janet Chung-HallDepartment of Psychology, University of Waterloo, Waterloo, Ontario, Canada.ORCID 0000-0002-9139-8100
Gang MengDepartment of Psychology, University of Waterloo, Waterloo, Ontario, Canada.
Lorraine V CraigDepartment of Psychology, University of Waterloo, Waterloo, Ontario, Canada.ORCID 0000-0001-5269-1817
Mary E ThompsonDepartment of Statistics & Actuarial Science, University of Waterloo, Waterloo, Ontario, Canada.
Anne C K QuahDepartment of Psychology, University of Waterloo, Waterloo, Ontario, Canada.
K Michael CummingsPsychiatry & Behavioral Sciences, Medical University of South Carolina, Charleston, South Carolina, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-7103-7017
Andrew HylandDepartment of Health Behavior, Roswell Park Cancer Institute, Buffalo, New York, USA.
Richard J O'ConnorDepartment of Health Behavior, Roswell Park Cancer Institute, Buffalo, New York, USA.ORCID 0000-0003-0644-182X
David T LevyLombardi Comprehensive Cancer Center, Georgetown University, Washington, District of Columbia, USA.ORCID 0000-0001-5280-3612
Cristine D DelnevoRutgers Center for Tobacco Studies, Rutgers Biomedical and Health Sciences, New Brunswick, New Jersey, USA.
Ollie GanzRutgers Center for Tobacco Studies, Rutgers Biomedical and Health Sciences, New Brunswick, New Jersey, USA.
Thomas EissenbergPsychology and Center for the Study of Tobacco Products, Virginia Commonwealth University, Richmond, Virginia, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-8277-5437
Eric K SouleDepartment of Health Education and Promotion, East Carolina University, Greenville, North Carolina, USA.ORCID 0000-0003-2740-5633
Robert SchwartzOntario Tobacco Research Unit, University of Toronto, Dalla Lana School of Public Health, Toronto, Ontario, Canada.ORCID 0000-0001-7838-0769
Joanna E CohenInstitute for Global Tobacco Control, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, Maryland, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-3869-3637
Michael O ChaitonDepartment of Public Health Sciences, University of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario, Canada.ORCID 0000-0002-9589-2122

Funding

TRANSCRIPTIONAL PROFILINGP30CA072720 · NCI · UNIV OF MED/DENT NJ-R W JOHNSON MED SCH · PI Tracie Saunders · 1997 to 2026
$94.5M
Vaporized Nicotine Product Initiation Among Youth in the US, Canada, and England: Methods to Predict Uptake and Policy EfficacyP01CA200512 · NCI · MEDICAL UNIVERSITY OF SOUTH CAROLINA · PI FONG, GEOFFREY T · 2016 to 2025
$25.3M
Training and Education Core p270-287P50DA036105 · NIDA · VIRGINIA COMMONWEALTH UNIVERSITY · PI EISSENBERG, THOMAS EVAN · 2013 to 2017
$19.2M
Tobacco Industry Marketing CoreU54CA229973 · NCI · UNIVERSITY OF PENNSYLVANIA · PI GANZ, OLLIE · 2018 to 2022
$18.8M
Evaluation of Canada's Menthol BanR21DA047358 · NIDA · UNIVERSITY OF TORONTO · PI CHAITON, MICHAEL · 2018 to 2019
$274k
NCI NIH HHS P01 CA200512NCI NIH HHS P30 CA072720NCI NIH HHS U54 CA229973NIDA NIH HHS P50 DA036105NIDA NIH HHS R21 DA047358
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

introductionBetween 2015 and 2018, Canada banned menthol cigarettes. This study pooled data from two pre-post cohort studies (the Ontario Menthol Ban Study, and the International Tobacco Control Policy Evaluation (ITC) Canada Survey, conducted in seven provinces) to derive more precise estimates of the impact of Canada's menthol ban on quitting and to apply these estimates to project the impact of a menthol ban in the USA.

methodsWeighted multivariable logistic analyses compared post-ban quit success of menthol smokers with non-menthol smokers (for daily smokers and for all (daily + non-daily) smokers), controlling for sex, age, ethnicity, education, baseline smoking status, baseline cigarettes per day and study regions. Projections to the USA were created by multiplying the effect size of the Canadian menthol ban on quitting (percentage of increased quitting among menthol smokers) by the number of menthol smokers overall and among African Americans, from the 2019 National Survey on Drug Use and Health.

resultsAfter the menthol cigarette ban, menthol smokers were more likely than non-menthol smokers to have quit smoking among daily smokers (difference=8.0%; 95% CI: 2.4% to 13.7%,p=0.005) and all (daily+non-daily) smokers (difference=7.3%; 95% CI: 2.1% to 12.5%,p=0.006). The projected number of smokers who would quit after a US menthol ban would be 789 724 daily smokers (including 199 732 African Americans) and 1 337 988 daily+non-daily smokers (including 381 272 African Americans).

conclusionsThis pooled analysis of Canada's menthol cigarette ban provides the foundation for estimating the impact of menthol bans in the USA and other countries. Projections suggest that a US menthol cigarette ban would have a substantial impact on increasing quitting.

Indexed as

Smoking CessationTobacco ProductsHumansMentholOntarioSmokersUnited StatesMentholCessationPublic policySurveillance and monitoring

Identifiers

PMID35483720
PMCPMC9613818

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.