Evidence map›Paper›PMID 35482785›Full record

Observational studyPloS one2022

Durability of mRNA-1273 against COVID-19 in the time of Delta: Interim results from an observational cohort study.

Ana Florea, Lina S Sy, Yi Luo, Lei Qian, Katia J Bruxvoort, Bradley K Ackerson, Gina S Lee, Jennifer H Ku, Julia E Tubert, Yun Tian and 2 more

Open access · goldAbstract readObservational Study
In one paragraph

Observational study in PloS one, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 11 papers, 3 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
11citing papers in PubMed, 3 pooled it
2.0field-weighted citation impact, top 12% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

11 citing papers in PubMed, 3 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 22 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Pooled it
  3. Pooled it
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Observational
  8. Article
  9. Review
  10. Messenger ribonucleic acid vaccines for severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus-2 - a review.Translational research : the journal of laboratory and clinical medicine · 2022
    Review
  11. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

12 authors at 2 institutions in 1 country.

Ana FloreaDepartment of Research and Evaluation, Kaiser Permanente Southern California, Pasadena, CA, United States of America.ORCID 0000-0003-0030-8737
Lina S SyDepartment of Research and Evaluation, Kaiser Permanente Southern California, Pasadena, CA, United States of America.ORCID 0000-0003-2762-9266
Yi LuoDepartment of Research and Evaluation, Kaiser Permanente Southern California, Pasadena, CA, United States of America.
Lei QianDepartment of Research and Evaluation, Kaiser Permanente Southern California, Pasadena, CA, United States of America.
Katia J BruxvoortDepartment of Research and Evaluation, Kaiser Permanente Southern California, Pasadena, CA, United States of America.
Bradley K AckersonDepartment of Research and Evaluation, Kaiser Permanente Southern California, Pasadena, CA, United States of America.
Gina S LeeDepartment of Research and Evaluation, Kaiser Permanente Southern California, Pasadena, CA, United States of America.
Jennifer H KuDepartment of Research and Evaluation, Kaiser Permanente Southern California, Pasadena, CA, United States of America.
Julia E TubertDepartment of Research and Evaluation, Kaiser Permanente Southern California, Pasadena, CA, United States of America.
Yun TianDepartment of Research and Evaluation, Kaiser Permanente Southern California, Pasadena, CA, United States of America.
Carla A TalaricoModerna, Inc., Cambridge, MA, United States of America.
Hung Fu TsengDepartment of Research and Evaluation, Kaiser Permanente Southern California, Pasadena, CA, United States of America.
Kaiser Permanente · USModerna Therapeutics (United States) · US

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundWe conducted a prospective cohort study at Kaiser Permanente Southern California to study the vaccine effectiveness (VE) of mRNA-1273 over time and during the emergence of the Delta variant.

methodsThe cohort for this planned interim analysis consisted of individuals aged ≥18 years receiving 2 doses of mRNA-1273 through June 2021, matched 1:1 to randomly selected unvaccinated individuals by age, sex, and race/ethnicity, with follow-up through September 2021. Outcomes were SARS-CoV-2 infection, and COVID-19 hospitalization and hospital death. Cox proportional hazards models were used to estimate adjusted hazard ratios (aHR) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) comparing outcomes in the vaccinated and unvaccinated groups. Adjusted VE (%) was calculated as (1-aHR)x100. HRs and VEs were also estimated for SARS-CoV-2 infection by age, sex, race/ethnicity, and during the Delta period (June-September 2021). VE against SARS-CoV-2 infection and COVID-19 hospitalization was estimated at 0-<2, 2-<4, 4-<6, and 6-<8 months post-vaccination.

results927,004 recipients of 2 doses of mRNA-1273 were matched to 927,004 unvaccinated individuals. VE (95% CI) was 82.8% (82.2-83.3%) against SARS-CoV-2 infection, 96.1% (95.5-96.6%) against COVID-19 hospitalization, and 97.2% (94.8-98.4%) against COVID-19 hospital death. VE against SARS-CoV-2 infection was similar by age, sex, and race/ethnicity, and was 86.5% (84.8-88.0%) during the Delta period. VE against SARS-CoV-2 infection decreased from 88.0% at 0-<2 months to 75.5% at 6-<8 months.

conclusionsThese interim results provide continued evidence for protection of 2 doses of mRNA-1273 against SARS-CoV-2 infection over 8 months post-vaccination and during the Delta period, and against COVID-19 hospitalization and hospital death.

Indexed as

COVID-192019-nCoV Vaccine mRNA-1273AdolescentAdultCohort StudiesHumansProspective StudiesSARS-CoV-22019-nCoV Vaccine mRNA-1273

Identifiers

PMID35482785
PMCPMC9049574
OpenAlexW4225990629

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.