ArticleLa Medicina del lavoro2022
Excess total mortality during the Covid-19 pandemic in Italy: updated estimates indicate persistent excess in recent months.
Article in La Medicina del lavoro, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 17 papers.
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Who cites it
17 citing papers in PubMed, 25 citations in OpenAlex.
- Suicidality and/or Death-Related Thoughts in Health Workers After Pandemics: The Role of DYMERS.Journal of clinical medicine · 2025Article
- Unmasking pandemic patterns: decoding the COVID-19's impact on mortality in Italy with Generalized Gamma overdispersion model.BMC public health · 2025Article
- COVID-19 pandemic as an effect modifier on the association between elevated temperatures and emergency department visits: A case-time-series study in a large population.Environmental epidemiology (Philadelphia, Pa.) · 2025Article
- Exploring the paradoxical nature of cold temperature mortality in Europe.Scientific reports · 2024Article
- COVID-19 Marked a Change in the Scope of Occupational Medicine from Occupational to Work-Related Diseases and Total Worker Health®.La Medicina del lavoro · 2023Article
- Still Unanswered Questions About SARS-CoV-2 Mortality and Future Directions for Occupational Medicine.La Medicina del lavoro · 2023Article
- Excess Total Mortality in Italy: An Update to February 2023 with Focus on Working Ages.La Medicina del lavoro · 2023Article
- The Effect of COVID-19 Pandemic on Overall and Cause-Specific Mortality in Pavia, Northern Italy: Updated Estimates for the Year 2021.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2023Article
- Impact of the First and Second Lockdown for COVID-19 Pandemic on Preterm Birth, Low Birth Weight, Stillbirth, Mode of Labor, and of Delivery in Lombardy, Italy.Journal of personalized medicine · 2023Article
- Article
- An updated estimation approach for SEIR models with stochastic perturbations: Application to COVID-19 data in Bogotá.PloS one · 2023Article
- Updated estimates of excess total mortality in Italy during the circulation of the BA.2 and BA.4-5 Omicron variants: April-July 2022.La Medicina del lavoro · 2022Article
- Article
- No excess mortality among working-age Italians during the Omicron wave of Covid-19.La Medicina del lavoro · 2022Article
- Excess Mortality on Italian Small Islands during the SARS-CoV-2 Pandemic: An Ecological Study.Infectious disease reports · 2022Article
- Counting the global COVID-19 dead.Lancet (London, England) · 2022Article
- Challenges in assessing the impact of environmental health hazards on populations.La Medicina del lavoro · 2022Article
Corrections and comments
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Authors and funding
5 authors at 2 institutions in 1 country.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
backgroundNew releases of daily mortality data are available in Italy; the last containing data up to 31 January 2022. This study revises previous estimates of the excess mortality in Italy during the Covid-19 pandemic.
methodsExcess mortality was estimated as the difference between the number of registered deaths and the expected deaths. Expected deaths in March-December 2020, January-December 2021 and January 2022 were estimated separately by sex, through an over-dispersed Poisson regression model using mortality and population data for the period 2011-2019. The models included terms for calendar year, age group, a smooth function of week of the year and the natural logarithm of the population as offset term.
resultsWe estimated 99,334 excess deaths (+18.8%) between March and December 2020, 61,808 deaths (+9.5%) in 2021 and 4143 deaths (+6.1%) in January 2022. Over the whole pandemic period, 13,039 excess deaths (+10.2%) were estimated in the age group 25-64 years with most of the excess observed among men [10,025 deaths (+12.6%) among men and 3014 deaths (+6.3%) among women].
conclusionsUp to 31 January 2022, over 165 thousand excess deaths were estimated in Italy, of these about 8% occurred among the working age population. Despite high vaccination uptake, excess mortality is still observed in recent months.
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