Cardiac cycle time-corrected electromechanical activation time greater than 15% is an independent risk factor for major adverse cardiovascular events in chronic heart failure outpatients.

Objectives: This study aimed to investigate the predictive value of cardiac cycle time-corrected electromechanical activation time (EMATc) for major adverse cardiovascular events (MACEs) in outpatients with chronic heart failure (CHF) in comparison with other clinic indexes. Methods: This prospective observational study at Beijing Anzhen Hospital from January 01, 2015 to January 01 2018 enrolled 120 CHF patients who were admitted for acute onset of CHF and followed up after discharge for 616.5 days (range: 202.75-875.25 days). Based on the different endpoints, cardiogenic death, all-cause death, and HF-related readmission, patients were assigned to the following groups: cardiogenic death and non-cardiogenic death groups, all-cause death and survival groups, and HF readmission and non-readmission groups. EMATc and other clinic indexes were measured and compared between these groups. Cox regression analysis was used to identify independent risk factors for MACEs. Results: The hazard ratio for EMATc>15% for cardiogenic death was 3.493 (P=0.046), suggesting that an EMATc>15% was an independent risk factor for cardiogenic death in CHF patients. The hazard ratios for B-type natriuretic peptide (BNP) >400 ng/L for all-cause death and CHF readmission were 3.810 (P=0.008) and 2.764 (P=0.031), respectively. Thus, BNP >400 ng/L was an independent risk factor for all-cause death and readmission for CHF. EF<40% was not found to be a significant risk factor for MACEs. Conclusions: BNP level can predict the risk for poor prognosis in CHF patients. EMATc>15% is an independent risk factor for cardiogenic death and should be considered as a supplement to serum BNP level and other clinical indexes for predicting cardiogenic death in CHF outpatients.