Evidence map›Paper›PMID 35477438›Full record

ArticleBMC musculoskeletal disorders2022

Do expectations of recovery improve risk assessment for people with whiplash-associated disorders? Secondary analysis of a prospective cohort study.

Alexandra R Griffin, Michele Sterling, Carrie Ritchie, Annette Kifley, Jagnoor Jagnoor, Ian D Cameron, Trudy Rebbeck

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMC musculoskeletal disorders, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
0.2field-weighted citation impact, top 46% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 1 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors at 2 institutions in 1 country.

Alexandra R GriffinFaculty of Medicine and Health, The University of Sydney, D18 Susan Wakil Health Building, Western Ave, Camperdown, NSW, 2050, Australia. alexandra.griffin@sydney.edu.au.
Michele SterlingRecover Injury Research Centre, The University of Queensland, Herston, QLD, Australia.
Carrie RitchieRecover Injury Research Centre, The University of Queensland, Herston, QLD, Australia.
Annette KifleyJohn Walsh Centre for Rehabilitation Research, Faculty and Medicine and Health, The University of Sydney, St Leonards, NSW, Australia.
Jagnoor JagnoorJohn Walsh Centre for Rehabilitation Research, Faculty and Medicine and Health, The University of Sydney, St Leonards, NSW, Australia.
Ian D CameronJohn Walsh Centre for Rehabilitation Research, Faculty and Medicine and Health, The University of Sydney, St Leonards, NSW, Australia.
Trudy RebbeckFaculty of Medicine and Health, The University of Sydney, D18 Susan Wakil Health Building, Western Ave, Camperdown, NSW, 2050, Australia.
University of Sydney · AUUniversity of Queensland · AU

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundWhipPredict, which includes prognostic factors of pain-related disability, age and hyperarousal symptoms, was developed and validated for prediction of outcome in people with whiplash associated disorders (WAD). Patient expectations of recovery was not an included factor, though is known to mediate outcomes. The aim of this study was to determine whether the addition of expectations of recovery could improve the accuracy of WhipPredict.

methodsTwo hundred twenty-eight participants with acute WAD completed questionnaires (WhipPredict and expectations of recovery) at baseline. Health outcomes (neck disability index (NDI) and Global Perceived Recovery (GPR)) were assessed at 6- and 12-months post injury. Cut-off points for expectations of recovery predictive of both full recovery (NDI ≤10 % , GPR ≥ 4) and poor outcome (NDI ≥30 % , GPR ≤  - 3) were determined, and multivariate logistic regression analyses were used to compare models with and without this variable.

resultsExpectations of recovery improved or maintained the accuracy of predictions of poor outcome (6-months: sensitivity 78 to 83%, specificity maintained at 79.5%; 12-months: sensitivity maintained at 80%, specificity 69 to 73%). The sensitivity of predictions of full recovery improved (6-months: 68 to 76%; 12-months: 57 to 81%), though specificity did not change appreciably at 6 months (80 to 81%) and declined at 12 (83 to 76%). ROC curves indicated a larger and more consistent improvement in model performance when expectations of recovery were added to the pathway predictive of full recovery.

conclusionsThe addition of expectations of recovery may improve the accuracy of WhipPredict, though further validation is required.

Indexed as

MotivationWhiplash InjuriesHumansPrognosisProspective StudiesRecovery of FunctionRisk AssessmentClinical decision rulesCohortEvidence-based health carePrognosisWhiplash injuries

Identifiers

PMID35477438
PMCPMC9044895
OpenAlexW4224941139

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.