Evidence map›Paper›PMID 35476444›Full record

ArticleScience advances2022

Escalating carbon emissions from North American boreal forest wildfires and the climate mitigation potential of fire management.

Carly A Phillips, Brendan M Rogers, Molly Elder, Sol Cooperdock, Michael Moubarak, James T Randerson, Peter C Frumhoff

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Science advances, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 9 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
9citing papers in PubMed
12.5field-weighted citation impact, top 1% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

9 citing papers in PubMed, 122 citations in OpenAlex.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors at 5 institutions in 1 country.

Carly A PhillipsUnion of Concerned Scientists, Cambridge, MA, USA.ORCID 0000-0003-1232-2683
Brendan M RogersWoodwell Climate Research Center, Falmouth, MA, USA.ORCID 0000-0001-6711-8466
Molly ElderFletcher School, Tufts University Medford, MA, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-5872-7582
Sol CooperdockWoodwell Climate Research Center, Falmouth, MA, USA.ORCID 0000-0001-9056-7008
Michael MoubarakHamilton College, Clinton, NY, USA.ORCID 0000-0003-4276-0609
James T RandersonDepartment of Earth System Science, University of California, Irvine, CA, USA.ORCID 0000-0001-6559-7387
Peter C FrumhoffUnion of Concerned Scientists, Cambridge, MA, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-5037-919X
Woodwell Climate Research Center · USHamilton College · USTufts University · USUnion of Concerned Scientists · USUniversity of California, Irvine · US

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Wildfires in boreal forests release large quantities of greenhouse gases to the atmosphere, exacerbating climate change. Here, we characterize the magnitude of recent and projected gross and net boreal North American wildfire carbon dioxide emissions, evaluate fire management as an emissions reduction strategy, and quantify the associated costs. Our results show that wildfires in boreal North America could, by mid-century, contribute to a cumulative net source of nearly 12 gigatonnes of carbon dioxide, about 3% of remaining global carbon dioxide emissions associated with keeping temperatures within the Paris Agreement's 1.5°C limit. With observations from Alaska, we show that current fire management practices limit the burned area. Further, the costs of avoiding carbon dioxide emissions by means of increasing investment in fire management are comparable to or lower than those of other mitigation strategies. Together, our findings highlight the climate risk that boreal wildfires pose and point to fire management as a cost-effective way to limit emissions.

Identifiers

PMID35476444
PMCPMC9045718
OpenAlexW4224941195

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.