ArticleEpidemiology (Cambridge, Mass.)2022
Carceral Amplification of COVID-19: Impacts for Community, Corrections Officer, and Incarcerated Population Risks.
Article in Epidemiology (Cambridge, Mass.), 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 15 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.
What it found
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The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.
Who cites it
15 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 23 citations in OpenAlex.
- Transmission models of respiratory infections in carceral settings: A systematic review.Epidemics · 2025Pooled it
- The Impacts of the SARS-CoV-2 Pandemic on Incarceration Dynamics and Racial Disparities in North Carolina Jails.Journal of urban health : bulletin of the New York Academy of Medicine · 2026Article
- Interventions for SARS-CoV-2 prevention among Jailed adults: A network-based modeling analysis.Infectious Disease Modelling · 2025Article
- The role of epidemiologists in addressing the public health consequences of the United States criminal legal system.American journal of epidemiology · 2025Article
- Decarceration and COVID-19 infections in U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement detention facilities: a simulation modeling study.Lancet regional health. Americas · 2025Article
- COVID-19 Reproduction Numbers and Long COVID Prevalences in California State Prisons.medRxiv : the preprint server for health sciences · 2024Article
- Social network dynamics of tobacco smoking and alcohol use among persons involved with the criminal legal system (PCLS): A modeling study.International journal of alcohol and drug research · 2024Article
- Four Models of Wastewater-Based Monitoring for SARS-CoV-2 Complementing Individual Screening in Jail Settings.American journal of public health · 2024Article
- Article
- Moana: Alternate surveillance for COVID-19 in a Unique Population (MASC-UP).Contemporary clinical trials communications · 2024Article
- Preparing correctional settings for the next pandemic: a modeling study of COVID-19 outbreaks in two high-income countries.Frontiers in public health · 2024Article
- A New Paradigm for Pandemic Preparedness.Current epidemiology reports · 2023Article
- Dynamic Contact Networks of Residents of an Urban Jail in the Era of SARS-CoV-2.medRxiv : the preprint server for health sciences · 2023Article
- Rates of SARS-CoV-2 transmission between and into California state prisons.medRxiv : the preprint server for health sciences · 2023Article
- Modeling and Global Sensitivity Analysis of Strategies to Mitigate Covid-19 Transmission on a Structured College Campus.Bulletin of mathematical biology · 2023Article
Corrections and comments
PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.
Authors and funding
6 authors at 5 institutions in 1 country.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
COVID-19 is challenging many societal institutions, including our criminal justice systems. Some have proposed or enacted (e.g., the State of New Jersey) reductions in the jail and/or prison populations. We present a mathematical model to explore the epidemiologic impact of such interventions in jails and contrast them with the consequences of maintaining unaltered practices. We consider infection risk and likely in-custody deaths, and estimate how within-jail dynamics lead to spill-over risks, not only affecting incarcerated people but increasing exposure, infection, and death rates for both corrections officers and the broader community beyond the justice system. We show that, given a typical jail-community dynamic, operating in a business-as-usual way results in substantial, rapid, and ongoing loss of life. Our results are consistent with the hypothesis that large-scale reductions in arrest and speeding of releases are likely to save the lives of incarcerated people, jail staff, and the wider community.
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Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.