Evidence map›Paper›PMID 35470142›Full record

ArticleNeurology2022

Predicting Amyloid Positivity in Cognitively Unimpaired Older Adults: A Machine Learning Approach Using A4 Data.

Kellen K Petersen, Richard B Lipton, Ellen Grober, Christos Davatzikos, Reisa A Sperling, Ali Ezzati

Open access · greenAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Neurology, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 17 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
17citing papers in PubMed
3.4field-weighted citation impact, top 7% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

17 citing papers in PubMed, 23 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Observational
  9. Article
  10. Article
  11. Article
  12. Predicting amyloid-beta pathology in the general population.Alzheimer's & dementia : the journal of the Alzheimer's Association · 2023
    Article
  13. Article
  14. Article
  15. Article
  16. Article
  17. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors at 1 institution in 1 country.

Kellen K PetersenFrom the Saul B. Korey Department of Neurology (K.K.P., R.B.L., E.G., A.E.), Albert Einstein College of Medicine, New York, NY; Center for Biomedical Image Computing and Analytics (C.D.), University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia; Harvard Aging Brain Study, Department of Neurology (R.A.S.), Massachusetts General Hospital, Harvard Medical School; and Center for Alzheimer Research and Treatment, Department of Neurology (R.A.S.), Brigham and Women's Hospital, Boston, MA. kellen.petersen@einsteinmed.org.ORCID 0000-0003-3195-3456
Richard B LiptonFrom the Saul B. Korey Department of Neurology (K.K.P., R.B.L., E.G., A.E.), Albert Einstein College of Medicine, New York, NY; Center for Biomedical Image Computing and Analytics (C.D.), University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia; Harvard Aging Brain Study, Department of Neurology (R.A.S.), Massachusetts General Hospital, Harvard Medical School; and Center for Alzheimer Research and Treatment, Department of Neurology (R.A.S.), Brigham and Women's Hospital, Boston, MA.
Ellen GroberFrom the Saul B. Korey Department of Neurology (K.K.P., R.B.L., E.G., A.E.), Albert Einstein College of Medicine, New York, NY; Center for Biomedical Image Computing and Analytics (C.D.), University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia; Harvard Aging Brain Study, Department of Neurology (R.A.S.), Massachusetts General Hospital, Harvard Medical School; and Center for Alzheimer Research and Treatment, Department of Neurology (R.A.S.), Brigham and Women's Hospital, Boston, MA.
Christos DavatzikosFrom the Saul B. Korey Department of Neurology (K.K.P., R.B.L., E.G., A.E.), Albert Einstein College of Medicine, New York, NY; Center for Biomedical Image Computing and Analytics (C.D.), University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia; Harvard Aging Brain Study, Department of Neurology (R.A.S.), Massachusetts General Hospital, Harvard Medical School; and Center for Alzheimer Research and Treatment, Department of Neurology (R.A.S.), Brigham and Women's Hospital, Boston, MA.
Reisa A SperlingFrom the Saul B. Korey Department of Neurology (K.K.P., R.B.L., E.G., A.E.), Albert Einstein College of Medicine, New York, NY; Center for Biomedical Image Computing and Analytics (C.D.), University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia; Harvard Aging Brain Study, Department of Neurology (R.A.S.), Massachusetts General Hospital, Harvard Medical School; and Center for Alzheimer Research and Treatment, Department of Neurology (R.A.S.), Brigham and Women's Hospital, Boston, MA.
Ali EzzatiFrom the Saul B. Korey Department of Neurology (K.K.P., R.B.L., E.G., A.E.), Albert Einstein College of Medicine, New York, NY; Center for Biomedical Image Computing and Analytics (C.D.), University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia; Harvard Aging Brain Study, Department of Neurology (R.A.S.), Massachusetts General Hospital, Harvard Medical School; and Center for Alzheimer Research and Treatment, Department of Neurology (R.A.S.), Brigham and Women's Hospital, Boston, MA.ORCID 0000-0003-1307-4589
Massachusetts General Hospital · US

Funding

Anti-Amyloid Treatment in Asymptomatic Alzheimer's Disease (A4) Open-Label Extension StudyR01AG063689 · NIA · BRIGHAM AND WOMEN'S HOSPITAL · PI AISEN, PAUL S., SPERLING, REISA A. · 2019 to 2024
$30.8M
Biomedical Image Computing and Informatics ClusterS10OD023495 · OD · UNIVERSITY OF PENNSYLVANIA · PI DAVATZIKOS, CHRISTOS · 2017 to 2017
$1.9M
Predictive analytics for cognitive decline and Alzheimer’s diseaseK23AG063993 · NIA · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA-IRVINE · PI EZZATI, ALI · 2020 to 2024
$984k
NIA NIH HHS K23 AG063993NIA NIH HHS R01 AG063689NIH HHS S10 OD023495
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

BACKGROUND AND

objectivesTo develop and test the performance of the Positive Aβ Risk Score (PARS) for prediction of β-amyloid (Aβ) positivity in cognitively unimpaired individuals for use in clinical research. Detecting Aβ positivity is essential for identifying at-risk individuals who are candidates for early intervention with amyloid targeted treatments.

methodsWe used data from 4,134 cognitively normal individuals from the Anti-Amyloid Treatment in Asymptomatic Alzheimer's (A4) Study. The sample was divided into training and test sets. A modified version of AutoScore, a machine learning-based software tool, was used to develop a scoring system using the training set. Three risk scores were developed using candidate predictors in various combinations from the following categories: demographics (age, sex, education, race, family history, body mass index, marital status, and ethnicity), subjective measures (Alzheimer's Disease Cooperative Study Activities of Daily Living-Prevention Instrument, Geriatric Depression Scale, and Memory Complaint Questionnaire), objective measures (free recall, Mini-Mental State Examination, immediate recall, digit symbol substitution, and delayed logical memory scores), and

resultsPARS model 1 included age, body mass index (BMI), and family history and had an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.60 (95% CI 0.57-0.64). PARS model 2 included free recall in addition to the PARS model 1 variables and had an AUC of 0.61 (0.58-0.64). PARS model 3, which consisted of age, BMI, and DISCUSSION: PARS models are a set of simple and practical risk scores that may improve our ability to identify individuals more likely to be amyloid positive. The models can potentially be used to enrich trials and serve as a screening step in research settings. This approach can be followed by the use of additional variables for the development of improved risk scores. CLASSIFICATION OF EVIDENCE: This study provides Class II evidence that in cognitively unimpaired individuals PARS models predict Aβ positivity with moderate accuracy.

Indexed as

Alzheimer DiseaseAmyloidosisCognitive DysfunctionActivities of Daily LivingAgedAmyloidAmyloid beta-PeptidesApolipoprotein E4HumansMachine LearningPositron-Emission TomographyAmyloidAmyloid beta-PeptidesApolipoprotein E4

Identifiers

PMID35470142
PMCPMC9231843
OpenAlexW4224942898

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.