Evidence map›Paper›PMID 35469327›Full record

ArticleApplied geography (Sevenoaks, England)2022

Risk assessment for precise intervention of COVID-19 epidemic based on available big data and spatio-temporal simulation method: Empirical evidence from different public places in Guangzhou, China.

Shuli Zhou, Suhong Zhou, Zhong Zheng, Junwen Lu, Tie Song

Open access · hybridAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Applied geography (Sevenoaks, England), 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 8 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
8citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
3.0field-weighted citation impact, top 8% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

8 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 23 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Article
  3. Evolution of COVID-19 dynamics in Guangdong Province, China: an endemic-epidemic modeling study.Archives of public health = Archives belges de sante publique · 2024
    Article
  4. COVID-19 modeling based on real geographic and population data.Turkish journal of medical sciences · 2023
    Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Agent Simulation Model of COVID-19 Epidemic Agent-Based on GIS: A Case Study of Huangpu District, Shanghai.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2022
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors at 3 institutions in 1 country.

Shuli ZhouSchool of Geography and Planning, Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou, 510275, China.
Suhong ZhouSchool of Geography and Planning, Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou, 510275, China.
Zhong ZhengCenter for Territorial Spatial Planning and Real Estate Studies, Beijing Normal University, Zhuhai, 519087, China.
Junwen LuSchool of Geography and Planning, Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou, 510275, China.
Tie SongGuangdong Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Guangzhou, 511430, China.
Sun Yat-sen University · CNBeijing Normal University · CNGuangdong Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention · CN

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Risk assessment of the intra-city spatio-temporal spreading of COVID-19 is important for providing location-based precise intervention measures, especially when the epidemic occurred in the densely populated and high mobile public places. The individual-based simulation has been proven to be an effective method for the risk assessment. However, the acquisition of individual-level mobility data is limited. This study used publicly available datasets to approximate dynamic intra-city travel flows by a spatio-temporal gravity model. On this basis, an individual-based epidemic model integrating agent-based model with the susceptible-exposed-infectious-removed (SEIR) model was proposed and the intra-city spatio-temporal spreading process of COVID-19 in eleven public places in Guangzhou China were explored. The results indicated that the accuracy of dynamic intra-city travel flows estimated by available big data and gravity model is acceptable. The spatio-temporal simulation method well presented the process of COVID-19 epidemic. Four kinds of spatial-temporal transmission patterns were identified and the pattern was highly dependent on the urban spatial structure and location. It indicated that location-based precise intervention measures should be implemented according to different regions. The approach of this research can be used by policy-makers to make rapid and accurate risk assessments and to implement intervention measures ahead of epidemic outbreaks.

Indexed as

Big dataCOVID-19Gravity modePrecise intervention measuresRisk assessmentSpatio-temporal spreading process

Identifiers

PMID35469327
PMCPMC9020488
OpenAlexW4224283735

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.