Evidence map›Paper›PMID 35468227›Full record

ArticleThe Prostate2022

Current and projected number of years of life lost due to prostate cancer: A global study.

Diana Withrow, Sophie Pilleron, Nikita Nikita, Jacques Ferlay, Swapnil Sharma, Brian Nicholson, Timothy R Rebbeck, Grace Lu-Yao

Open access · greenAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in The Prostate, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 34 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
34citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
8.7field-weighted citation impact, top 1% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

34 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 60 citations in OpenAlex.

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  17. Use ofWiener klinische Wochenschrift · 2025
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors at 4 institutions in 3 countries.

Diana WithrowNuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK.ORCID 0000-0002-9757-040X
Sophie PilleronNuffield Department of Population Health, Big Data Institute, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK.ORCID 0000-0001-7146-4740
Nikita NikitaDepartment of Medical Oncology, Sidney Kimmel Cancer Center, Thomas Jefferson University, Philadelphia, PA.ORCID 0000-0002-6672-9772
Jacques FerlayCancer Surveillance Branch, International Agency for Research on Cancer, Lyon, France.ORCID 0000-0003-4927-6932
Swapnil SharmaDepartment of Medical Oncology, Sidney Kimmel Cancer Center, Thomas Jefferson University, Philadelphia, PA.
Brian NicholsonNuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK.ORCID 0000-0003-0661-7362
Timothy R RebbeckDana-Farber Cancer Institute and Harvard TH Chan School of Public Health, Boston, Massachusetts, USA.
Grace Lu-YaoDepartment of Medical Oncology, Sidney Kimmel Cancer Center, Thomas Jefferson University, Philadelphia, PA.ORCID 0000-0002-2925-7737
Thomas Jefferson University · USUniversity of Oxford · GBCentre international de recherche sur le cancer · FRDana-Farber Cancer Institute · US

Funding

X-Ray Crystallography and Macromolecular CharacterizationP30CA056036 · NCI · THOMAS JEFFERSON UNIVERSITY · PI Andrew Chapman · 1995 to 2026
$94.8M
Precision Interception of Aggressive Prostate Cancer in African American MenP20CA233255 · NCI · DANA-FARBER CANCER INST · PI REBBECK, TIMOTHY R · 2018 to 2020
$3.2M
NCI NIH HHS P20 CA233255NCI NIH HHS P30 CA056036World Health Organization 001
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundProstate cancer is an important cause of death worldwide. The number of years of life lost (YLL) due to prostate cancer is a metric of the toll of prostate cancer and using projections of demographic changes, can be used to measure future burden.

methodsProstate cancer mortality data by country and world region was retrieved from the Global Cancer Observatory and the World Health Organization mortality data set, and life expectancy was from the United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs. We estimated YLL as the difference between age at death in people with prostate cancer and remaining life expectancy for people of the same age in the general population. We also estimated the age-standardized YLL rates per 100,000 males over 50 and the average annual percentage change in YLL rates over the period 2000-2019 and the number of YLL for the year 2040 by applying population projections to the 2020 YLL rates.

resultsIn 2020, 3.5 million person-years of life were lost due to prostate cancer in males over 50, and 40% of YLL were in those aged over 75. Age-standardized rates varied greatly between and within regions. Over the last two decades, rates of YLL have increased in many Asian and African countries while they have decreased in northern American and European countries. Globally, YLL are anticipated to double by 2040 to reach 7.5 million, with the greatest increases in Africa, Asia, and Latin America and the Caribbean.

conclusionThere are wide variations in the burden of prostate cancer globally as measured by YLL. The burden of prostate cancer is projected to increase over time and appears to be highest in Sub-Saharan Africa, Eastern Europe, and Latin America and the Caribbean. It will be critical to plan and implement programs to reduce the burden of prostate cancer globally.

Indexed as

Life ExpectancyProstatic NeoplasmsAgedCaribbean RegionHumansMaleepidemiologymortalityprostate canceryears of life lost

Identifiers

PMID35468227
PMCPMC9246888
OpenAlexW4224867684

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceTDM
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.