Evidence map›Paper›PMID 35467964›Full record

ArticleJCO clinical cancer informatics2022

OSPred Tool: A Digital Health Aid for Rapid Predictive Analysis of Correlations Between Early End Points and Overall Survival in Non-Small-Cell Lung Cancer Clinical Trials.

Khader Shameer, Youyi Zhang, Andrzej Prokop, Sreenath Nampally, Imran Khan A N, Jim Weatherall, Renee Bailey Iacona, Faisal M Khan

Open access · bronzeAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in JCO clinical cancer informatics, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
0.5field-weighted citation impact, top 36% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed, 2 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors at 3 institutions in 3 countries.

Khader ShameerData Science & Artificial Intelligence, BioPharmaceuticals R&D, AstraZeneca, Gaithersburg, MD.ORCID 0000-0002-9982-1911
Youyi ZhangData Science & Artificial Intelligence, BioPharmaceuticals R&D, AstraZeneca, Gaithersburg, MD.
Andrzej ProkopOncology Biometrics, Oncology R&D, AstraZeneca, Warsaw, Poland.
Sreenath NampallyData Science & Artificial Intelligence, BioPharmaceuticals R&D, AstraZeneca, Gaithersburg, MD.
Imran Khan A NData Science & Artificial Intelligence, BioPharmaceuticals R&D, AstraZeneca, Macclesfield, United Kingdom.ORCID 0000-0002-9175-9279
Jim WeatherallData Science & Artificial Intelligence, BioPharmaceuticals R&D, AstraZeneca, Macclesfield, United Kingdom.
Renee Bailey IaconaOncology Biometrics, Oncology R&D, AstraZeneca, Gaithersburg, MD.
Faisal M KhanData Science & Artificial Intelligence, BioPharmaceuticals R&D, AstraZeneca, Gaithersburg, MD.ORCID 0000-0002-5116-7471
AstraZeneca (United States) · USAstraZeneca (United Kingdom) · GBAstraZeneca (Poland) · PL

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

purposeOverall survival (OS) is the gold standard end point for establishing clinical benefits in phase III oncology trials. However, these trials are associated with low success rates, largely driven by failure to meet the primary end point. Surrogate end points such as progression-free survival (PFS) are increasingly being used as indicators of biologic drug activity and to inform early go/no-go decisions in oncology drug development. We developed OSPred, a digital health aid that combines actual clinical data and machine intelligence approaches to visualize correlation trends between early (PFS-based) and late (OS) end points and provide support for shared decision making in the drug development pipeline.

methodsOSPred is based on a trial-level data set of 81 reports (35 anticancer drugs with various mechanisms of action; 156 observations) in non-small-cell lung cancer (NSCLC). OSPred was developed using R Shiny, with packages ggplot2, metafor, boot, dplyr, and mvtnorm, to analyze and visualize correlation results and predict OS hazard ratio (HR OS) on the basis of user-inputted PFS-based data, namely, HR PFS, or the odds ratio of PFS at 4 (OR PFS4) or 6 (OR PFS6) months.

resultsThe three main features of the tool are as follows: prediction of HR OS on the basis of user-inputted early end point values; visualization of comparisons of the user's investigational drug with other drugs in the NSCLC setting, including by specific MoA; and creation of a probability density chart, providing point prediction and CIs for HR OS. A working version of the tool for download is linked.

conclusionThe OSPred tool offers interactive visualization of clinical trial end point correlations with reference to a large pool of historical NSCLC studies. Its focused capability has the potential to digitally transform and accelerate data-driven decision making as part of the drug development process.

Indexed as

Antineoplastic AgentsCarcinoma, Non-Small-Cell LungLung NeoplasmsClinical Trials, Phase III as TopicEndpoint DeterminationHumansProgression-Free SurvivalProportional Hazards ModelsAntineoplastic Agents

Identifiers

PMID35467964
PMCPMC9067362
OpenAlexW4224310138

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.