Evidence map›Paper›PMID 35467344›Full record

ArticleThe journal of physical chemistry letters2022

Omicron BA.2 (B.1.1.529.2): High Potential for Becoming the Next Dominant Variant.

Jiahui Chen, Guo-Wei Wei

Open access · greenAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in The journal of physical chemistry letters, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 65 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
65citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
9.9field-weighted citation impact, top 1% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

65 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 98 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
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  14. Decoding the cross-immune pressure: Dengue's role in SARS-CoV-2 evolution.Computational and structural biotechnology journal · 2025
    Article
  15. Article
  16. Persistent Mayer Dirac.Journal of physics. Complexity · 2024
    Article
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  19. Knot data analysis using multiscale Gauss link integral.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2024
    Article
  20. Article

5 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

2 authors at 1 institution in 1 country.

Jiahui ChenDepartment of Mathematics, Michigan State University, East Lansing, Michigan 48824, United States.ORCID 0000-0001-5416-6231
Guo-Wei WeiDepartment of Mathematics, Michigan State University, East Lansing, Michigan 48824, United States.ORCID 0000-0002-5781-2937
Michigan State University · US

Funding

AI-based platform for predicting emerging vaccine-escape variants and designing mutation-proof antibodiesR01AI164266 · NIAID · UNIVERSITY OF GEORGIA · PI Guowei Wei, YONG-HUI ZHENG · 2022 to 2026
$2.7M
Synergistic integration of topology and machine learning for the predictions of protein-ligand binding affinities and mutation impactsR01GM126189 · NIGMS · MICHIGAN STATE UNIVERSITY · PI WEI, GUOWEI · 2018 to 2021
$1.4M
NIAID NIH HHS R01 AI164266NIGMS NIH HHS R01 GM126189
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The Omicron variant has three subvariants: BA.1 (B.1.1.529.1), BA.2 (B.1.1.529.2), and BA.3 (B.1.1.529.3). BA.2 is found to be able to alarmingly reinfect patients originally infected by Omicron BA.1. An important question is whether BA.2 or BA.3 will become a new dominating "variant of concern". Currently, no experimental data has been reported about BA.2 and BA.3. We construct a novel algebraic topology-based deep learning model to systematically evaluate BA.2's and BA.3's infectivity, vaccine breakthrough capability, and antibody resistance. Our comparative analysis of all main variants, namely, Alpha, Beta, Gamma, Delta, Lambda, Mu, BA.1, BA.2, and BA.3, unveils that BA.2 is about 1.5 and 4.2 times as contagious as BA.1 and Delta, respectively. It is also 30% and 17-fold more capable than BA.1 and Delta, respectively, to escape current vaccines. Therefore, we project that Omicron BA.2 is on a path to becoming the next dominant variant. We forecast that like Omicron BA.1, BA.2 will also seriously compromise most existing monoclonal antibodies. All key predictions have been nearly perfectly confirmed before the official publication of this work.

Indexed as

COVID-19SARS-CoV-2Antibodies, MonoclonalHumansSpike Glycoprotein, CoronavirusAntibodies, MonoclonalSpike Glycoprotein, Coronavirus

Identifiers

PMID35467344
PMCPMC9063109
OpenAlexW4224438969

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceTDM
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.