Evidence map›Paper›PMID 35467016›Full record

ArticleClinical pharmacology and therapeutics2022

Model-Based Prediction of Irinotecan-Induced Grade 4 Neutropenia in Advanced Cancer Patients: Influence of Demographic and Clinical Factors.

Spinel Karas, Ron H J Mathijssen, Ron H N van Schaik, Alan Forrest, Tim Wiltshire, Federico Innocenti, Robert R Bies

Open access · greenAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Clinical pharmacology and therapeutics, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 4 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
4citing papers in PubMed
0.4field-weighted citation impact, top 42% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

4 citing papers in PubMed, 5 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Pharmaceuticals (Basel, Switzerland) · 2023
    Article
  4. Temporal offset association between the number of irinotecan-related adverse reactions and pharmacogenomic studies: A cross-correlation analysis.Saudi pharmaceutical journal : SPJ : the official publication of the Saudi Pharmaceutical Society · 2023
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors at 5 institutions in 2 countries.

Spinel KarasDivision of Pharmacotherapy and Experimental Therapeutics, UNC Eshelman School of Pharmacy, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, Chapel Hill, North Carolina, USA.
Ron H J MathijssenDepartment of Medical Oncology, Erasmus MC Cancer Institute, Rotterdam, The Netherlands.
Ron H N van SchaikDepartment of Clinical Chemistry, Erasmus MC, Rotterdam, The Netherlands.
Alan ForrestDivision of Pharmacotherapy and Experimental Therapeutics, UNC Eshelman School of Pharmacy, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, Chapel Hill, North Carolina, USA.
Tim WiltshireDivision of Pharmacotherapy and Experimental Therapeutics, UNC Eshelman School of Pharmacy, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, Chapel Hill, North Carolina, USA.
Federico InnocentiOncology Early Development, AbbVie, Inc., South San Francisco, California, USA.
Robert R BiesDepartment of Pharmaceutical Sciences, University at Buffalo School of Pharmacy and Pharmaceutical Sciences, State University of New York at Buffalo, Buffalo, New York, USA.
University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill · USAbbVie (United States) · USErasmus MC Cancer Institute · NLErasmus University Rotterdam · NLUniversity at Buffalo, State University of New York · US

Funding

UNC-Duke Collaborative Clinical Pharmacology Postdoctoral Training Program-Evaluation SupplementT32GM086330 · NIGMS · UNIV OF NORTH CAROLINA CHAPEL HILL · PI KIM L.R. BROUWER, Daniel Gonzalez · 2011 to 2026
$8.5M
NIGMS NIH HHS T32 GM086330
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Severe neutropenia is the major dose-liming toxicity of irinotecan-based chemotherapy. The objective was to assess to what extent a population pharmacokinetic/pharmacodynamic model including patient-specific demographic/clinical characteristics, individual pharmacokinetics, and absolute neutrophil counts (ANCs) can predict irinotecan-induced grade 4 neutropenia. A semimechanistic population pharmacokinetic/pharmacodynamic model was developed to describe neutrophil response over time in 197 patients with cancer receiving irinotecan. For covariate analysis, sex, race, age, pretreatment total bilirubin, and body surface area were evaluated to identify significant covariates on system-related parameters (mean transit time (MTT) and ɣ) and sensitivity to neutropenia effects of irinotecan and SN-38 (SLOPE). The model-based simulation was performed to assess the contribution of the identified covariates, individual pharmacokinetics, and baseline ANC alone or with incremental addition of weekly ANC up to 3 weeks on predicting irinotecan-induced grade 4 neutropenia. The time course of neutrophil response was described using the model assuming that irinotecan and SN-38 have toxic effects on bone marrow proliferating cells. Sex and pretreatment total bilirubin explained 10.5% of interindividual variability in MTT. No covariates were identified for SLOPE and γ. Incorporating sex and pretreatment total bilirubin (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC-ROC): 50%, 95% CI 50-50%) or with the addition of individual pharmacokinetics (AUC-ROC: 62%, 95% CI 53-71%) in the model did not result in accurate prediction of grade 4 neutropenia. However, incorporating ANC only at baseline and week 1 in the model achieved a good prediction (AUC-ROC: 78%, 95% CI 69-88%). These results demonstrate the potential applicability of a model-based approach to predict irinotecan-induced neutropenia, which ultimately allows for personalized intervention to maximize treatment outcomes.

Indexed as

NeoplasmsNeutropeniaBilirubinDemographyHumansIrinotecanBilirubinIrinotecan

Identifiers

PMID35467016
PMCPMC9843820
OpenAlexW4224435382

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.