ArticleMathematical methods in the applied sciences2022
Modeling the transmission of second-wave COVID-19 caused by imported cases: A case study.
Article in Mathematical methods in the applied sciences, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 3 papers.
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3 citing papers in PubMed.
- Modeling the transmission of second-wave COVID-19 caused by imported cases: A case study.Mathematical methods in the applied sciences · 2022Article
- A Mathematical Modeling Analysis of Racism and Corruption Codynamics with Numerical Simulation as Infectious Diseases.Computational and mathematical methods in medicine · 2022Article
- Strain-stream model of epidemic spread in application to COVID-19.The European physical journal. B · 2022Article
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2 authors.
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Abstract
As the first-wave COVID-19 has passed in 2020, people's awareness of self-protection began to decline gradually. How to prevent and control the second-wave COVID-19 has become an important issue in many countries and regions. By analyzing the transmission of the second-wave COVID-19 caused by an imported case in Tonghua City, Jilin Province, China, in January 2021, we establish a new mathematical COVID-19 model to simulate the transmission characteristics of the second-wave COVID-19. First, we analyze the basic properties of the model, prove the existence of the equilibrium point, and obtain the expression of the basic reproduction number with important biological significance. Secondly, we use the weighted nonlinear least square estimation method to fit the cases in Tonghua City of Jilin Province in January 2021, and get the estimated value of the parameters. The basic reproduction number of the second-wave COVID-19 in Tonghua City is
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