Evidence map›Paper›PMID 35456249›Full record

ArticleJournal of clinical medicine2022

Role of a Chest X-ray Severity Score in a Multivariable Predictive Model for Mortality in Patients with COVID-19: A Single-Center, Retrospective Study.

Masoud Baikpour, Alex Carlos, Ryan Morasse, Hannah Gissel, Victor Perez-Gutierrez, Jessica Nino, Jose Amaya-Suarez, Fatimatu Ali, Talya Toledano, Joseph Arampulikan and 5 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of clinical medicine, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 3 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
3citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

3 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Article
  3. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

15 authors.

Masoud BaikpourDepartment of Radiology, Harvard Medical School, Massachusetts General Hospital, 55 Fruit Street, Boston, MA 02114, USA.ORCID 0000-0003-3170-8071
Alex CarlosDepartment of Medicine, NYC Health and Hospitals/Lincoln, 234 East 149th Street, Bronx, NY 10451, USA.
Ryan MorasseDepartment of Medicine, NYC Health and Hospitals/Lincoln, 234 East 149th Street, Bronx, NY 10451, USA.
Hannah GisselDepartment of Interventional Radiology, George Washington University Hospital, 900 23rd Street NW, Washington, DC 20037, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-6801-0059
Victor Perez-GutierrezDepartment of Medicine, NYC Health and Hospitals/Lincoln, 234 East 149th Street, Bronx, NY 10451, USA.
Jessica NinoDepartment of Medicine, NYC Health and Hospitals/Lincoln, 234 East 149th Street, Bronx, NY 10451, USA.
Jose Amaya-SuarezDepartment of Medicine, NYC Health and Hospitals/Lincoln, 234 East 149th Street, Bronx, NY 10451, USA.
Fatimatu AliDepartment of Medicine, NYC Health and Hospitals/Lincoln, 234 East 149th Street, Bronx, NY 10451, USA.
Talya ToledanoDepartment of Radiology, NYC Health and Hospitals/Lincoln, 234 East 149th Street, Bronx, NY 10451, USA.
Joseph ArampulikanDepartment of Radiology, NYC Health and Hospitals/Lincoln, 234 East 149th Street, Bronx, NY 10451, USA.
Menachem GoldDepartment of Radiology, NYC Health and Hospitals/Lincoln, 234 East 149th Street, Bronx, NY 10451, USA.
Usha VenugopalDepartment of Medicine, NYC Health and Hospitals/Lincoln, 234 East 149th Street, Bronx, NY 10451, USA.ORCID 0000-0001-7373-2219
Anjana PillaiDepartment of Medicine, NYC Health and Hospitals/Lincoln, 234 East 149th Street, Bronx, NY 10451, USA.
Kennedy OmonuwaDepartment of Medicine, NYC Health and Hospitals/Lincoln, 234 East 149th Street, Bronx, NY 10451, USA.
Vidya MenonDepartment of Medicine, NYC Health and Hospitals/Lincoln, 234 East 149th Street, Bronx, NY 10451, USA.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Predicting the mortality risk of patients with Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) can be valuable in allocating limited medical resources in the setting of outbreaks. This study assessed the role of a chest X-ray (CXR) scoring system in a multivariable model in predicting the mortality of COVID-19 patients by performing a single-center, retrospective, observational study including consecutive patients admitted with a confirmed diagnosis of COVID-19 and an initial CXR. The CXR severity score was calculated by three radiologists with 12 to 15 years of experience in thoracic imaging, based on the extent of lung involvement and density of lung opacities. Logistic regression analysis was used to identify independent predictive factors for mortality to create a predictive model. A validation dataset was used to calculate its predictive value as the AUROC. A total of 628 patients (58.1% male) were included in this study. Age (p < 0.001), sepsis (p < 0.001), S/F ratio (p < 0.001), need for mechanical ventilation (p < 0.001), and the CXR severity score (p = 0.005) were found to be independent predictive factors for mortality. We used these variables to develop a predictive model with an AUROC of 0.926 (0.891, 0.962), which was significantly higher than that of the WHO COVID severity classification, 0.853 (0.798, 0.909) (one-tailed p-value = 0.028), showing that our model can accurately predict mortality of hospitalized COVID-19 patients.

Indexed as

chest X-rayCOVID-19mortalitypredictive modelseverity score

Identifiers

PMID35456249
PMCPMC9025720

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.