Evidence map›Paper›PMID 35451623›Full record

ArticleOsteoporosis international : a journal established as result of cooperation between the European Foundation for Osteoporosis and the National Osteoporosis Foundation of the USA2022

Improved fracture risk prediction by adding VFA-identified vertebral fracture data to BMD by DXA and clinical risk factors used in FRAX.

L Johansson, H Johansson, K F Axelsson, H Litsne, N C Harvey, E Liu, W D Leslie, L Vandenput, E McCloskey, J A Kanis and 1 more

Open access · hybridAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Osteoporosis international : a journal established as result of cooperation between the European Foundation for Osteoporosis and the National Osteoporosis Foundation of the USA, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 19 papers, 3 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
19citing papers in PubMed, 3 pooled it
5.7field-weighted citation impact, top 3% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

19 citing papers in PubMed, 3 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 33 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Previous fracture and subsequent fracture risk: a meta-analysis to update FRAX.Osteoporosis international : a journal established as result of cooperation between the European Foundation for Osteoporosis and the National Osteoporosis Foundation of the USA · 2023
    Pooled it
  3. Clinical practice guideline for management of osteoporosis and fracture prevention in Canada: 2023 update.CMAJ : Canadian Medical Association journal = journal de l'Association medicale canadienne · 2023
    Guideline
  4. Vertebral fractures identified on lateral DXA images by deep learning predict incident fractures in older women.Osteoporosis international : a journal established as result of cooperation between the European Foundation for Osteoporosis and the National Osteoporosis Foundation of the USA · 2026
    Article
  5. Review
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Barriers and solutions for global access to osteoporosis management: a Position Paper from the International Osteoporosis Foundation.Osteoporosis international : a journal established as result of cooperation between the European Foundation for Osteoporosis and the National Osteoporosis Foundation of the USA · 2025
    Review
  9. Prediction of hip fracture by high-resolution peripheral quantitative computed tomography in older Swedish women.Journal of bone and mineral research : the official journal of the American Society for Bone and Mineral Research · 2025
    Article
  10. Article
  11. Review
  12. Article
  13. Sarcopenia definitions and their association with fracture risk in older Swedish women.Journal of bone and mineral research : the official journal of the American Society for Bone and Mineral Research · 2024
    Article
  14. Article
  15. CMAJ : Canadian Medical Association journal = journal de l'Association medicale canadienne · 2023
    Article
  16. Article
  17. Article
  18. Article
  19. Observational
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

11 authors at 6 institutions in 4 countries.

L JohanssonDepartment of Internal Medicine and Clinical Nutrition, Institute of Medicine, Sahlgrenska Osteoporosis Centre, University of Gothenburg, Gothenburg, Sweden.
H JohanssonDepartment of Internal Medicine and Clinical Nutrition, Institute of Medicine, Sahlgrenska Osteoporosis Centre, University of Gothenburg, Gothenburg, Sweden.
K F AxelssonDepartment of Internal Medicine and Clinical Nutrition, Institute of Medicine, Sahlgrenska Osteoporosis Centre, University of Gothenburg, Gothenburg, Sweden.
H LitsneDepartment of Internal Medicine and Clinical Nutrition, Institute of Medicine, Sahlgrenska Osteoporosis Centre, University of Gothenburg, Gothenburg, Sweden.
N C HarveyMRC Lifecourse Epidemiology Centre, University of Southampton, Southampton, UK.
E LiuMary MacKillop Institute for Health Research, Australian Catholic University, Melbourne, VIC, Australia.
W D LeslieDepartment of Medicine, University of Manitoba, Winnipeg, MB, Canada.
L VandenputDepartment of Internal Medicine and Clinical Nutrition, Institute of Medicine, Sahlgrenska Osteoporosis Centre, University of Gothenburg, Gothenburg, Sweden.
E McCloskeyCentre for Metabolic Bone Diseases, University of Sheffield Medical School, Sheffield, UK.
J A KanisMary MacKillop Institute for Health Research, Australian Catholic University, Melbourne, VIC, Australia.
M LorentzonDepartment of Internal Medicine and Clinical Nutrition, Institute of Medicine, Sahlgrenska Osteoporosis Centre, University of Gothenburg, Gothenburg, Sweden. mattias.lorentzon@acu.edu.au.
Australian Catholic University · AUUniversity of Gothenburg · SENIHR Southampton Biomedical Research Centre · GBSahlgrenska University Hospital · SEUniversity of Manitoba · CAVersus Arthritis · GB

Funding

Medical Research Council MC_PC_21003Medical Research Council MC_PC_21022Medical Research Council MR/P020941/1
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Vertebral fracture (VF) is a strong predictor of subsequent fracture. In this study of older women, VF, identified by dual-energy X-ray absorptiometry (DXA) vertebral fracture assessment (VFA), were associated with an increased risk of incident fractures and had a substantial impact on fracture probability, supporting the utility of VFA in clinical practice. PURPOSE: Clinical and occult VF can be identified using VFA with dual-energy X-ray absorptiometry (DXA). The aim of this study was to investigate to what extent VFA-identified VF improve fracture risk prediction, independently of bone mineral density (BMD) and clinical risk factors used in FRAX.

methodsA total of 2852 women, 75-80 years old, from the prospective population-based study SUPERB cohort, were included in this study. At baseline, BMD was measured by DXA, VF diagnosed by VFA, and questionnaires used to collect data on risk factors for fractures. Incident fractures were captured by X-ray records or by diagnosis codes. An extension of Poisson regression was used to estimate the association between VFA-identified VF and the risk of fracture and the 5- and 10-year probability of major osteoporotic fracture (MOF) was calculated from the hazard functions for fracture and death.

resultsDuring a median follow-up of 5.15 years (IQR 4.3-5.9 years), the number of women who died or suffered a MOF, clinical VF, or hip fracture was 229, 422, 160, and 124, respectively. A VFA-identified VF was associated with an increased risk of incident MOF (hazard ratio [HR] = 1.78; 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.46-2.18), clinical VF (HR = 2.88; 95% [CI] 2.11-3.93), and hip fracture (HR = 1.67; 95% [CI] 1.15-2.42), adjusted for age, height, and weight. For women at age 75 years, a VFA-identified VF was associated with 1.2-1.4-fold greater 10-year MOF probability compared with not taking VFA into account, depending on BMD.

conclusionIdentifying an occult VF using VFA has a substantial impact on fracture probability, indicating that VFA is an efficient method to improve fracture prediction in older women.

Indexed as

Hip FracturesOsteoporotic FracturesSpinal FracturesAbsorptiometry, PhotonAgedAged, 80 and overBone DensityFemaleHumansProspective StudiesRisk AssessmentRisk FactorsClinical risk factors and bone mineral densityFracture riskOlder womenVertebral fractureVertebral fracture assessment

Identifiers

PMID35451623
PMCPMC9499899
OpenAlexW4224223450

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.