ArticlePloS one2022
Quantifying risk factors and potential geographic extent of African swine fever across the world.
Article in PloS one, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 19 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.
What it found
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The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.
Who cites it
19 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 29 citations in OpenAlex.
- A Systematic Literature Review of Variables Associated with the Occurrence of African Swine Fever.Viruses · 2025Pooled it
- Modelling African Swine Fever Transmission and Epidemiology: A Scoping Review of Mechanistic, Statistical, and Machine Learning Approaches.Tropical medicine and infectious disease · 2026Review
- Knowledge, attitudes, and practices toward African swine fever among commercial pig farm producers in Takeo and Kampong Speu provinces, Cambodia.Frontiers in veterinary science · 2026Article
- Temperature and pH dynamics during carcass decomposition and implications for disease management.Scientific reports · 2025Article
- Farming Practices, Biosecurity Gaps, and Genetic Insights into African Swine Fever Virus in the Iringa and Ruvuma Regions of Tanzania.Animals : an open access journal from MDPI · 2025Article
- Risk Factors for African Swine Fever in Wild Boar in Russia: Application of Regression for Classification Algorithms.Animals : an open access journal from MDPI · 2025Article
- Risk Mapping of African Swine Fever in Domestic Pigs and Wild Boars to Enhance Management and Surveillance in Asia.Transboundary and emerging diseases · 2025Article
- - Invited Review - Pig production in Africa: current status, challenges, prospects and opportunities.Animal bioscience · 2024Article
- Landscape connectivity for predicting the spread of ASF in the European wild boar population.Scientific reports · 2024Article
- African swine fever at the wildlife-livestock interface: challenges for management and outbreak response within invasive wild pigs in the United States.Frontiers in veterinary science · 2024Review
- The implications for potential marginal land resources of cassava across worldwide under climate change challenges.Scientific reports · 2023Article
- Predicting Suitable Areas for African Swine Fever Outbreaks in Wild Boars in South Korea and Their Implications for Managing High-Risk Pig Farms.Animals : an open access journal from MDPI · 2023Article
- Areas within the United States at the Highest Risk for African Swine Fever, Classical Swine Fever, and Foot-and-Mouth Disease Introduction.Transboundary and emerging diseases · 2023Article
- Drone-Based Thermal Imaging in the Detection of Wildlife Carcasses and Disease Management.Transboundary and emerging diseases · 2023Article
- Article
- Semi-quantitative risk assessment of African swine fever virus introduction in pig farms.Frontiers in veterinary science · 2023Article
- Risk of African swine fever virus transmission among wild boar and domestic pigs in Poland.Frontiers in veterinary science · 2023Article
- Article
- Development and Validation of a Bioinformatic Workflow for the Rapid Detection of Viruses in Biosecurity.Viruses · 2022Article
Corrections and comments
PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.
Authors and funding
18 authors at 6 institutions in 3 countries.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
African swine fever (ASF) has spread to many countries in Africa, Europe and Asia in the past decades. However, the potential geographic extent of ASF infection is unknown. Here we combined a modeling framework with the assembled contemporary records of ASF cases and multiple covariates to predict the risk distribution of ASF at a global scale. Local spatial variations in ASF risk derived from domestic pigs is influenced strongly by livestock factors, while the risk of having ASF in wild boars is mainly associated with natural habitat covariates. The risk maps show that ASF is to be ubiquitous in many areas, with a higher risk in areas in the northern hemisphere. Nearly half of the world's domestic pigs (1.388 billion) are in the high-risk zones. Our results provide a better understanding of the potential distribution beyond the current geographical scope of the disease.
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Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.