Evidence map›Paper›PMID 35444714›Full record

ArticleComputational and mathematical methods in medicine2022

Construction of COVID-19 Epidemic Prevention and Control and Public Health Emergency Response System Based on Discrete Stochastic Mathematical Model.

Ying Yang, Liming Dong, Hua Rong, HongyuYang, Bingxin Liu

RetractedAbstract readRetracted Publication
In one paragraph

Article in Computational and mathematical methods in medicine, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. It has been retracted, and should not be counted. Cited by 3 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
3citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

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The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

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3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

3 citing papers in PubMed.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Ying YangDepartment of Nursing, General Hospital of Taiyuan Iron & Steel Co., Ltd, Taiyuan, 030008 Shanxi, China.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5975-7564
Liming DongDepartment of Gynaecology and Obstetrics, General Hospital of Taiyuan Iron & Steel Co., Ltd, Taiyuan, 030003 Shanxi, China.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6647-0799
Hua RongDepartment of Nursing, General Hospital of Taiyuan Iron & Steel Co., Ltd, Taiyuan, 030008 Shanxi, China.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9674-7552
HongyuYangDepartment of Nursing, Taiyuan Fourth People's Hospital, Taiyuan, 030053 Shanxi Province, China.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7393-1357
Bingxin LiuDepartment of Nursing, Shanxi Cancer Hospital, Taiyuan, Shanxi 030013, China.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7335-8634

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

This research was aimed at exploring the construction and evaluation method of the comprehensive emergency response system for public health emergencies under the COVID-19 (coronavirus disease 2019) epidemic situation based on discrete stochastic mathematical model. The response of the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDCP) of Taiyuan city in the COVID-19 epidemic situation was taken as an example. A new discrete stochastic COVID-19 epidemic spread mathematical model which integrated public health intervention and input cases was proposed. The model was parameterized by multisource data, and the impact of different flow patterns on the risk of secondary outbreak was analyzed. The advantages and disadvantages of its emergency system construction were analyzed. Additionally, the improvement measures and suggestions for the existing problems were proposed. Results suggested that there was only one specialized disease prevention and control institution in Taiyuan, and there were only 11 centers for disease prevention and control, accounting for 6.2% (11/177) of the total in Shanxi Province. Through the analysis, it was found that the current public health emergency response system in Taiyuan city had imperfect management coordination mechanism, incomplete plan type, serious shortage of public health personnel, poor information communication efficiency, insufficient early warning efficiency of the epidemic detection system, and weak logistics material security links. Therefore, it was proposed to establish a sound coordination system of emergency health management and vigorously promote the construction of emergency health management institutions. Thus, a public health emergency management system integrating management coordination system, plan system, emergency team building system, material reserve management, and other functions was formed. The application of discrete stochastic mathematical model suggests that intermittent population flow and effective isolation of infected people in transient population can effectively reduce the risk of secondary outbreak. The system analysis here also provides theoretical basis for improving the construction of public health emergency response system in Taiyuan.

Indexed as

COVID-19EpidemicsChinaDisease OutbreaksHumansModels, TheoreticalPublic Health

Identifiers

PMID35444714
PMCPMC9014834

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.