ArticleBundesgesundheitsblatt, Gesundheitsforschung, Gesundheitsschutz2022
[Potential impact of increased alcohol taxes on the alcohol-attributable burden of disease in Germany: a modelling study].
Article in Bundesgesundheitsblatt, Gesundheitsforschung, Gesundheitsschutz, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 3 papers.
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3 citing papers in PubMed, 6 citations in OpenAlex.
- A population-based analysis of the global burden of epilepsy across all age groups (1990-2021): utilizing the Global Burden of Disease 2021 data.Frontiers in neurology · 2024Article
- Alcoholic Beverage Preference in Germany: An Age-Period-Cohort Analysis of Trends 1995-2018.Alcohol and alcoholism (Oxford, Oxfordshire) · 2023Article
- Improving alcohol health literacy and reducing alcohol consumption: recommendations for Germany.Addiction science & clinical practice · 2023Review
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Authors and funding
5 authors at 5 institutions in 5 countries.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
backgroundIn 2019, Germany was among the countries with the highest alcohol per capita consumption in the world, which contributes significantly to the burden of disease.
aimIn this modelling study, we estimate how many alcohol-attributable diseases and deaths in Germany could have been avoided in 2019 if current alcohol excise taxes were increased by 20%, 50%, and 100%.
methodsThe starting point for the modelling was the national beverage-specific alcohol taxes. Three scenarios were modelled under the assumption that the resulting tax increase would be fully transferred to the retail prices. Beverage-specific price elasticities were used. Based on the estimated resulting decline in annual per capita consumption and the disease-specific risk functions, we modelled the avoidable incidence and mortality for alcohol-attributable diseases for 2019. Alcohol-attributable diseases of the cardiovascular and digestive systems, alcohol dependence, epilepsy, and infectious diseases as well as injuries and accidents were considered.
resultsOverall, doubling the beverage-specific alcohol taxes could have avoided up to 200,400 alcohol-attributable cases of disease and injury as well as 2800 deaths in Germany in 2019. This corresponds to just under 7% of the modelled new alcohol-attributable cases of disease and death in Germany. DISCUSSION: Alcohol-attributable diseases and injuries are preventable and an increase in the alcohol taxes could substantially reduce the alcohol-attributable burden of disease in Germany.
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