Evidence map›Paper›PMID 35440555›Full record

ArticleNature communications2022

Bird populations most exposed to climate change are less sensitive to climatic variation.

Liam D Bailey, Martijn van de Pol, Frank Adriaensen, Aneta Arct, Emilio Barba, Paul E Bellamy, Suzanne Bonamour, Jean-Charles Bouvier, Malcolm D Burgess, Anne Charmantier and 30 more

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Nature communications, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 24 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
24citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
12.1field-weighted citation impact, top 1% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

24 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 53 citations in OpenAlex.

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  15. Endocrine flexibility can facilitate or constrain the ability to cope with global change.Philosophical transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series B, Biological sciences · 2024
    Review
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

40 authors at 20 institutions in 15 countries.

Liam D BaileyDepartment of Animal Ecology, Netherlands Institute of Ecology (NIOO-KNAW), Wageningen, The Netherlands. liam.bailey@liamdbailey.com.ORCID 0000-0002-8226-9454
Martijn van de PolDepartment of Animal Ecology, Netherlands Institute of Ecology (NIOO-KNAW), Wageningen, The Netherlands.ORCID 0000-0003-4102-4079
Frank AdriaensenEvolutionary Ecology Group, Department of Biology, Universiteitsplein 1, University of Antwerp, Antwerp, Belgium.
Aneta ArctInstitute of Systematics and Evolution of Animals, Polish Academy of Sciences, Kraków, Poland.
Emilio Barba'Cavanilles' Institute of Biodiversity and Evolutionary Biology, University of Valencia, Valencia, Spain.ORCID 0000-0003-2882-9788
Paul E BellamyRSPB Centre for Conservation Science, The Lodge, Sandy, Bedfordshire, UK.ORCID 0000-0003-2234-2119
Suzanne BonamourSorbonne Université, Centre d'Écologie et des Sciences de la Conservation (UMR 7204), Muséum National d'Histoire Naturelle, Paris, France.
Jean-Charles BouvierINRAE, PSH, Plantes et Systèmes de culture Horticoles, Avignon, France.
Malcolm D BurgessRSPB Centre for Conservation Science, The Lodge, Sandy, Bedfordshire, UK.ORCID 0000-0003-1288-1231
Anne CharmantierCentre d'Ecologie Fonctionnelle et Evolutive, CNRS, EPHE, IRD, Univ Montpellier, Montpellier, France.ORCID 0000-0002-0691-2647
Camillo CusimanoStazione Ornitologica Aegithalos, Palermo, Italy.
Blandine DoligezLaboratoire de Biométrie et Biologie Evolutive, CNRS UMR 5558, University of Lyon, Université Claude Bernard Lyon 1, Lyon, France.
Szymon M DrobniakInstitute of Environmental Sciences, Jagiellonian University, Kraków, Poland.ORCID 0000-0001-8101-6247
Anna DubiecMuseum and Institute of Zoology, Polish Academy of Sciences, Warszawa, Poland.ORCID 0000-0003-4007-5915
Marcel EensBehavioural Ecology & Ecophysiology Group, Department of Biology, University of Antwerp, Antwerp, Belgium.ORCID 0000-0001-7538-3542
Tapio EevaDepartment of Biology, University of Turku, Turku, Finland.ORCID 0000-0002-0395-1536
Peter N FernsCardiff School of Biosciences, Cardiff University, Cardiff, UK.ORCID 0000-0002-0326-0911
Anne E GoodenoughSchool of Natural and Social Sciences, Francis Close Hall, University of Gloucestershire, Cheltenham, UK.ORCID 0000-0002-7662-6670
Ian R HartleyLancaster Environment Centre, Lancaster University, Lancaster, UK.
Shelley A HinsleyUK Centre for Ecology & Hydrology, Wallingford, UK.
Elena IvankinaZvenigorod Biological Station, Lomonosov Moscow State University, Moscow, Russia.ORCID 0000-0002-4213-9110
Rimvydas JuškaitisNature Research Centre, Vilnius, Lithuania.ORCID 0000-0003-0254-9198
Bart KempenaersDepartment of Behavioural Ecology and Evolutionary Genetics, Max Planck Institute for Ornithology, Seewiesen, Germany.ORCID 0000-0002-7505-5458
Anvar B KerimovDepartment of Vertebrate Zoology, Faculty of Biology, Lomonosov Moscow State University, Moscow, Russia.ORCID 0000-0002-3543-2757
Claire LavigneINRAE, PSH, Plantes et Systèmes de culture Horticoles, Avignon, France.ORCID 0000-0003-2869-5177
Agu LeivitsDepartment of Nature Conservation, Environmental Board, Tallinn, Estonia.ORCID 0000-0002-5144-7617
Mark C MainwaringLancaster Environment Centre, Lancaster University, Lancaster, UK.
Erik MatthysenEvolutionary Ecology Group, Department of Biology, Universiteitsplein 1, University of Antwerp, Antwerp, Belgium.
Jan-Åke NilssonEvolutionary Ecology, Department of Biology, University of Lund, Lund, Sweden.ORCID 0000-0001-8982-1064
Markku OrellDepartment of Ecology and Genetics, University of Oulu, Oulu, Finland.
Seppo RytkönenDepartment of Ecology and Genetics, University of Oulu, Oulu, Finland.ORCID 0000-0001-5186-6072
Juan Carlos SenarEvolutionary and Behavioural Ecology Research Unit, Museu de Ciències Naturals de Barcelona, Barcelona, Spain.ORCID 0000-0001-9955-3892
Ben C SheldonEdward Grey Institute, Department of Zoology, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK.ORCID 0000-0002-5240-7828
Alberto SoraceISPRA, Rome, Italy.
Martyn J StenningSchool of Life Sciences, University of Sussex, Sussex, East Sussex, UK.
János TörökBehavioural Ecology Group, Department of Systematic Zoology and Ecology, ELTE Eötvös Loránd University, Budapest, Hungary.ORCID 0000-0002-4799-5522
Kees van OersDepartment of Animal Ecology, Netherlands Institute of Ecology (NIOO-KNAW), Wageningen, The Netherlands.ORCID 0000-0001-6984-906X
Emma VatkaEcological Genetics Research Unit, Organismal and Evolutionary Biology Research Programme, Faculty of Biological & Environmental Sciences, University of Helsinki, Helsinki, Finland.ORCID 0000-0003-2935-8295
Stefan J G VriendCentre for Biodiversity Dynamics, Department of Biology, Norwegian University of Science and Technology, Trondheim, Norway.ORCID 0000-0002-9006-5988
Marcel E VisserDepartment of Animal Ecology, Netherlands Institute of Ecology (NIOO-KNAW), Wageningen, The Netherlands.ORCID 0000-0002-1456-1939
Netherlands Institute of Ecology · NLUniversity of Antwerp · BELancaster University · GBLomonosov Moscow State University · RUPlantes et systèmes de culture horticoles · FRRoyal Society for the Protection of Birds · GBUniversity of Oulu · FICardiff University · GBCentre National de la Recherche Scientifique · FREötvös Loránd University · HUInstitute of Systematics and Evolution of Animals · PLIstituto Superiore per la Protezione e la Ricerca Ambientale · ITJagiellonian University · PLLund University · SEMax Planck Institute for Ornithology · DEMuseu de Ciències Naturals de Barcelona · ESMuseum and Institute of Zoology · PLNature Research Centre · LTNorwegian University of Science and Technology · NOSorbonne Université · FR

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The phenology of many species shows strong sensitivity to climate change; however, with few large scale intra-specific studies it is unclear how such sensitivity varies over a species' range. We document large intra-specific variation in phenological sensitivity to temperature using laying date information from 67 populations of two co-familial European songbirds, the great tit (Parus major) and blue tit (Cyanistes caeruleus), covering a large part of their breeding range. Populations inhabiting deciduous habitats showed stronger phenological sensitivity than those in evergreen and mixed habitats. However, populations with higher sensitivity tended to have experienced less rapid change in climate over the past decades, such that populations with high phenological sensitivity will not necessarily exhibit the strongest phenological advancement. Our results show that to effectively assess the impact of climate change on phenology across a species' range it will be necessary to account for intra-specific variation in phenological sensitivity, climate change exposure, and the ecological characteristics of a population.

Indexed as

PasseriformesSongbirdsAnimalsClimate ChangeSeasonsTemperature

Identifiers

PMID35440555
PMCPMC9018789
OpenAlexW4226193375

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.