Evidence map›Paper›PMID 35434605›Full record

ArticleFrontiers in artificial intelligence2021

Planning as Inference in Epidemiological Dynamics Models.

Frank Wood, Andrew Warrington, Saeid Naderiparizi, Christian Weilbach, Vaden Masrani, William Harvey, Adam Ścibior, Boyan Beronov, John Grefenstette, Duncan Campbell and 1 more

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Frontiers in artificial intelligence, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 3 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
3citing papers in PubMed
0.4field-weighted citation impact, top 47% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

3 citing papers in PubMed, 4 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Planning as Inference in Epidemiological Dynamics Models.Frontiers in artificial intelligence · 2021
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

11 authors at 2 institutions in 2 countries.

Frank WoodDepartment of Computer Science, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, BC, Canada.
Andrew WarringtonDepartment of Engineering Science, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom.
Saeid NaderipariziDepartment of Computer Science, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, BC, Canada.
Christian WeilbachDepartment of Computer Science, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, BC, Canada.
Vaden MasraniDepartment of Computer Science, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, BC, Canada.
William HarveyDepartment of Computer Science, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, BC, Canada.
Adam ŚcibiorDepartment of Computer Science, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, BC, Canada.
Boyan BeronovDepartment of Computer Science, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, BC, Canada.
John GrefenstetteEpistemix Inc., Pittsburgh, PA, United States.
Duncan CampbellEpistemix Inc., Pittsburgh, PA, United States.
S Ali NasseriDepartment of Computer Science, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, BC, Canada.
University of British Columbia · CAScience Oxford · GB

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

In this work we demonstrate how to automate parts of the infectious disease-control policy-making process via performing inference in existing epidemiological models. The kind of inference tasks undertaken include computing the posterior distribution over controllable, via direct policy-making choices, simulation model parameters that give rise to acceptable disease progression outcomes. Among other things, we illustrate the use of a probabilistic programming language that automates inference in existing simulators. Neither the full capabilities of this tool for automating inference nor its utility for planning is widely disseminated at the current time. Timely gains in understanding about how such simulation-based models and inference automation tools applied in support of policy-making could lead to less economically damaging policy prescriptions, particularly during the current COVID-19 pandemic.

Indexed as

Bayesian inferenceCOVID-19epidemiological dynamicsprobabilistic programmingpublic health preparedness

Identifiers

PMID35434605
PMCPMC9009395
OpenAlexW4220875893

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.