Evidence map›Paper›PMID 35433879›Full record

ArticleFrontiers in cardiovascular medicine2022

Machine Learning-Based Personalized Risk Prediction Model for Mortality of Patients Undergoing Mitral Valve Surgery: The PRIME Score.

Ning Zhou, Zhili Ji, Fengjuan Li, Bokang Qiao, Rui Lin, Wenxi Jiang, Yuexin Zhu, Yuwei Lin, Kui Zhang, Shuanglei Li and 5 more

Registry-linked trialAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Frontiers in cardiovascular medicine, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. It is linked to trial NCT05141292 (A Registry Study of Biomarkers in Mitral Valve Disease), which is not on this map. Cited by 4 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
4citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

NCT05141292 unknown statusnot on this map

A Registry Study of Biomarkers in Mitral Valve Disease

TypeobservationalSponsorBeijing Institute of Heart, Lung and Blood Vessel DiseasesRan2016 to 2025Enrolled5,000ConditionsCardiovascular Diseases
3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

4 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Review
  3. Review
  4. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

15 authors.

Ning ZhouBeijing Anzhen Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, China.
Zhili JiBeijing Anzhen Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, China.
Fengjuan LiBeijing Anzhen Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, China.
Bokang QiaoBeijing Anzhen Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, China.
Rui LinBeijing Anzhen Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, China.
Wenxi JiangBeijing Anzhen Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, China.
Yuexin ZhuBeijing Anzhen Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, China.
Yuwei LinDepartment of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Peking University, Beijing, China.
Kui ZhangBeijing Anzhen Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, China.
Shuanglei LiDepartment of Cardiac Surgery, Chinese People's Liberation Army General Hospital, Beijing, China.
Bin YouBeijing Anzhen Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, China.
Pei GaoDepartment of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Peking University, Beijing, China.
Ran DongBeijing Anzhen Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, China.
Yuan WangBeijing Anzhen Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, China.
Jie DuBeijing Anzhen Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, China.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Background: Mitral valve surgery (MVS) is an effective treatment for mitral valve diseases. There is a lack of reliable personalized risk prediction models for mortality in patients undergoing mitral valve surgery. Our aim was to develop a risk stratification system to predict all-cause mortality in patients after mitral valve surgery. Methods: Different machine learning models for the prediction of all-cause mortality were trained on a derivation cohort of 1,883 patients undergoing mitral valve surgery [split into a training cohort (70%) and internal validation cohort (30%)] to predict all-cause mortality. Forty-five clinical variables routinely evaluated at discharge were used to train the models. The best performance model (PRIME score) was tested in an externally validated cohort of 220 patients undergoing mitral valve surgery. The model performance was evaluated according to the area under the curve (AUC). Net reclassification improvement (NRI) and integrated discrimination improvement (IDI) were compared with existing risk strategies. Results: After a median follow-up of 2 years, there were 133 (7.063%) deaths in the derivation cohort and 17 (7.727%) deaths in the validation cohort. The PRIME score showed an AUC of 0.902 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.849-0.956) in the internal validation cohort and 0.873 (95% CI: 0.769-0.977) in the external validation cohort. In the external validation cohort, the performance of the PRIME score was significantly improved compared with that of the existing EuroSCORE II (NRI = 0.550, [95% CI 0.001-1.099], Conclusion: Machine learning-based model (the PRIME score) that integrate clinical, demographic, imaging, and laboratory features demonstrated superior performance for the prediction of mortality patients after mitral valve surgery compared with the traditional risk model EuroSCORE II. Clinical Trial Registration: [http://www.clinicaltrials.gov], identifier [NCT05141292].

Indexed as

machine learningmitral valve surgerymortalitypersonalized risk predictionrisk stratification

Identifiers

PMID35433879
PMCPMC9010531

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