Evidence map›Paper›PMID 35432617›Full record

ArticleAdvances in statistical analysis : AStA : a journal of the German Statistical Society2022

On the role of data, statistics and decisions in a pandemic.

Beate Jahn, Sarah Friedrich, Joachim Behnke, Joachim Engel, Ursula Garczarek, Ralf Münnich, Markus Pauly, Adalbert Wilhelm, Olaf Wolkenhauer, Markus Zwick and 2 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Advances in statistical analysis : AStA : a journal of the German Statistical Society, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 10 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
10citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

10 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Review
  2. Article
  3. Modelling practices, data provisioning, sharing and dissemination needs for pandemic decision-making: a European survey-based modellers' perspective, 2020 to 2022.Euro surveillance : bulletin Europeen sur les maladies transmissibles = European communicable disease bulletin · 2025
    Article
  4. Review
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Review
  9. Article
  10. Discussion onAdvances in statistical analysis : AStA : a journal of the German Statistical Society · 2022
    Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

12 authors.

Beate Jahn *Institute of Public Health, Medical Decision Making and Health Technology Assessment, Department of Public Health, Health Services Research and Health Technology Assessment, UMIT - University for Health Sciences, Medical Informatics and Technology, Hall i.T., Austria.ORCID 0000-0002-6764-6362
Sarah Friedrich *Department of Medical Statistics, University Medical Center Göttingen, Göttingen, Germany.
Joachim BehnkeZeppelin University Friedrichshafen, Friedrichshafen, Germany.
Joachim EngelPädagogische Hochschule Ludwigsburg, Ludwigsburg, Germany.
Ursula GarczarekCytel Inc, 675, Massachusetts Avenue, Cambridge, MA 02139 USA.
Ralf MünnichEconomic and Social Statistics, Trier University, Trier, Germany.
Markus PaulyDepartment of Statistics, TU Dortmund University, Dortmund, Germany.
Adalbert WilhelmPsychology and Methods, Jacobs University Bremen, Bremen, Germany.
Olaf WolkenhauerDepartment of Systems Biology and Bioinformatics, University of Rostock, Rostock, Germany.
Markus ZwickDivision of Economic Policy and Quantitative Methods, Goethe University Frankfurt, Frankfurt, Germany.
Uwe SiebertInstitute of Public Health, Medical Decision Making and Health Technology Assessment, Department of Public Health, Health Services Research and Health Technology Assessment, UMIT - University for Health Sciences, Medical Informatics and Technology, Hall i.T., Austria.ORCID 0000-0001-6425-7671
Tim FriedeDepartment of Medical Statistics, University Medical Center Göttingen, Göttingen, Germany.ORCID 0000-0001-5347-7441

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

A pandemic poses particular challenges to decision-making because of the need to continuously adapt decisions to rapidly changing evidence and available data. For example, which countermeasures are appropriate at a particular stage of the pandemic? How can the severity of the pandemic be measured? What is the effect of vaccination in the population and which groups should be vaccinated first? The process of decision-making starts with data collection and modeling and continues to the dissemination of results and the subsequent decisions taken. The goal of this paper is to give an overview of this process and to provide recommendations for the different steps from a statistical perspective. In particular, we discuss a range of modeling techniques including mathematical, statistical and decision-analytic models along with their applications in the COVID-19 context. With this overview, we aim to foster the understanding of the goals of these modeling approaches and the specific data requirements that are essential for the interpretation of results and for successful interdisciplinary collaborations. A special focus is on the role played by data in these different models, and we incorporate into the discussion the importance of statistical literacy and of effective dissemination and communication of findings.

Indexed as

COVID-19Decision-analytic modelingHealth-decision frameworkSARS-CoV-2

Identifiers

PMID35432617
PMCPMC8988552

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.